Business
Dangote, Ethiopia sign deal for 3mmt fertiliser plant
- ·To become second Urea producer in Sub-Saharan Africa
The Dangote Group yesterday signed an agreement to develop, construct, and operate a world-class urea fertiliser production complex in Gode, Ethiopia. Once consummated, Ethiopia will become the second in Sub-Saharan Africa to own a Urea Plant, with a capacity of three million metric tonnes.
The agreement underscores the position of the President of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, who firmly believes that “it is only Africans who can develop Africa.”
“Both Tanzania and Mozambique, in the past decade, have not been able to build a Urea Plant, despite having a large deposit of Gas in their respective countries. They have both depended on imports, as no foreign investor was willing to stake their funds into the project.”
On Thursday, Ethiopian Investment Holdings (EIH), the strategic investment arm of the Government of Ethiopia, and Dangote Group announced the signing of a comprehensive shareholders’ agreement to develop, construct, and operate a world-class urea fertiliser production complex in Gode, Ethiopia.
Under the partnership structure, EIH will hold a 40 per cent equity stake, while the Dangote Group will maintain a 60 per cent ownership of the transformative project, representing one of the largest industrial investments in Ethiopian history.
The ambitious project will establish one of the world’s largest single-site urea fertiliser production complexes, with production facilities boasting a combined capacity of up to three million metric tonnes per annum. The facility will rank among the top five largest urea production complexes globally.
Under the agreement, the two companies will jointly develop, own, construct, operate, maintain, insure, and finance the state-of-the-art urea fertiliser plants and associated infrastructure. The comprehensive development includes advanced gas transport pipelines to evacuate natural gas from Ethiopia’s Hilal and Calub reserves, storage facilities, logistics infrastructure, and export capabilities designed to serve both domestic and regional markets.
The agreement also provides for potential expansions, upgrades, and similar fertiliser production initiatives in ammonia-based fertilisers, including ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulfate, and calcium ammonium nitrate, further cementing Ethiopia’s position as a regional fertiliser production hub.
The Project Development Costs are estimated not to exceed $2.5 billion USD, with completion targeted within 40 months from commencement. A significant component of this investment includes the construction of a dedicated pipeline infrastructure to transport natural gas from Ethiopia’s proven Hilal and Calub gas reserves to the Gode production facility, ensuring a reliable and cost-effective feedstock supply for the fertiliser complex.
This substantial investment underscores both companies’ commitment to transforming Ethiopia’s agricultural sector and enhancing food security across the region. The project is expected to significantly reduce Ethiopia’s dependence on fertiliser imports while creating thousands of direct and indirect employment opportunities in the Somali Regional State and beyond.
Aliko Dangote commented: “This partnership with the Ethiopian Investment Holdings represents a pivotal moment in our shared vision to industrialise Africa and achieve food security across the continent. The strategic location of Gode, combined with Ethiopia’s abundant natural gas resources from the Hilal and Calub reserves, makes this an ideal location for what will become one of the world’s largest fertiliser complexes.
“We are committed to bringing our decades of experience in large-scale industrial projects to ensure this venture becomes a cornerstone of Ethiopia’s industrial transformation and a catalyst for agricultural productivity throughout the region. The 60-40 partnership structure reflects our commitment to this transformative project while ensuring strong Ethiopian participation.”
The Chief Executive Officer of Ethiopian Investment Holdings, Dr. Brook Taye, stated: “This landmark agreement with Dangote Group marks a significant milestone in Ethiopia’s journey toward industrial self-sufficiency and agricultural modernisation. As the strategic investment arm of the Government of Ethiopia, EIH is proud to secure a 40 per cent stake in what will be one of the world’s largest urea production facilities. The project aligns perfectly with our national development priorities and will substantially enhance our agricultural productivity while positioning Ethiopia as a regional hub for fertiliser production.
“The utilisation of our domestic Hilal and Calub gas reserves through dedicated pipeline infrastructure ensures energy security and cost competitiveness for decades to come. We are confident that this partnership will deliver tremendous value to Ethiopian farmers, contribute to food security, and generate substantial economic benefits for our nation.”
The Gode fertiliser complex will play a crucial role in supporting Ethiopia’s agricultural sector, which employs over 70 per cent of the country’s population.
By ensuring reliable access to high-quality fertilisers at competitive prices, the project is expected to boost crop yields, improve farmer incomes, and contribute to national food security objectives. With its three million metric tonne annual capacity, the facility will rank among the world’s top fertiliser production complexes, while significantly exceeding the capacity of most existing facilities worldwide.
This scale positions Ethiopia as a major player in the global fertiliser market and a key supplier for the African continent. The partnership leverages Dangote Group’s proven track record in large-scale industrial projects across Africa and Ethiopian Investment Holdings’ role as the government’s strategic investment vehicle with deep understanding of the local market and regulatory environment.
The pipeline connection to the Hilal and Calub gas reserves ensures long-term feedstock security and cost competitiveness in global markets. The project also supports broader regional integration objectives by creating a reliable supply of fertilisers for neighboring countries, potentially reducing import costs and improving agricultural productivity across East Africa and beyond.
Capital Market
Aradel Holdings Plc delivers strong and consistent 9M, 2025 results
…Declares interim dividend of N10.00
Summary of Performance
| 30 September 2025 | 30 September 2024 | % Change | |||
| N’billion | N’billion | ||||
| Revenue | 538.8 | 377.6 | 43% | ||
| Gross Profit | 234.7 | 210.7 | 11% | ||
| EBITDA | 261.5 | 238.1 | 10% | ||
| Operating Profit | 167.5 | 169.1 | (1%) | ||
| Profit before tax | 300.7 | 191.5 | 57% | ||
| Profit after tax | 245.1 | 110.6 | 122% | ||
| Cash generated from operations | 205.4 | 213.5 | (4%) | ||
| Volumes lifted (mmbbls) | 3.05 | 2.07 | 47% | ||
| Volume of gas sold (Bcf) | 13.58 | 9.51 | 43% | ||
| Volume of refined products sold (mltrs) | 230.9 | 148.6 | 45% | ||
| Average realized oil price ($/bbl) | 75.64 | 85.87 | (12%) | ||
| Average realized gas price ($/mscf) | 1.64 | 1.58 | 4% | ||
43% revenue growth year-on-year from N377.6bn to N538.8bn
25% increase in interim dividend to N10.00, up from N8.00 in prior year
20 years of uninterrupted production, underscoring operational excellence and resilience
Aradel Holdings Plc (“Aradel” or “Aradel Holdings” or the “Company” or the “Group”), Nigeria’s leading integrated energy company announces its unaudited results for the nine-month period ended 30 September 2025.
Aradel continues to deliver strong operational and financial performance, reflecting the resilience of its diversified energy portfolio. The Company maintained stable production across all business segments and achieved robust profit margins, supported by operational efficiency, disciplined capital management and solid returns from non-operated assets. Reinforcing its commitment to shareholder value, the Board of Directors has approved an interim dividend of N10.00 per share.
Operational Highlights
Crude oil production averaged 15.3kbbls/day, up 25% from 12.3bbls/day in 9M 2024, driven by improved well optimization, enhanced efficiency, and operational excellence.
Gas production rose 41% to 50.6mmscf/day (9M 2024: 35.7mmmscf) supported by new gas wells and enhanced recovery.
40% increase in production of refined products at 235.7mltrs in 9M 2025 compared to 168.9mltrs in 9M 2024, reflecting improved refinery uptime and expanded capacity.
8.5 million manhours without Lost Time Injury (LTI) achieved across all operated assets.
In 9M 2025, Aradel expanded its drilling operations with two development rigs and two workover rigs, up from a single rig in 9M 2024, enabling greater exploration, appraisal, and production enhancement activities that reinforced its growth and operational efficiency
Financial Highlights
Revenue grew by 43% year on year to N538.8 billion (9M 2024: N377.6 billion), driven by higher crude oil, gas and refined-product sales volumes.
EBITDA increased 10% to N261.4 billion (9M 2024: N238.1 billion).
43% increase in Profit before tax increased due to strong revenues and strong performance of associate companies.
Cash at bank stood at N399.5 billion (9M 2024: N411.8 billion), excluding N12.3 billion restricted cash, maintaining a healthy balance sheet position.
Dividend
The Board approved an interim dividend of N10.00 per share, representing a 25% increase from N8.00 declared in the prior year. This decision underscores Aradel’s commitment to delivering consistent and sustainable returns to shareholders while maintaining a prudent capital discipline and reinvestment for future growth
Mr. Adegbite Falade, Chief Executive Officer, said:
“The Company continues to demonstrate the strength and resilience of its business model, delivering another solid performance for the nine months ended 30 September 2025. This performance reaffirms our consistent track record of growth and value creation even in a dynamic operating environment.
As we celebrate 20 consecutive years of uninterrupted production, we remain proud of how far we have come in building a fully integrated energy company anchored on operational excellence, disciplined growth strategy and prudent financial management.
Since our landmark listing on the Nigerian Exchange in October 2024, we have continued to deliver on our promise of sustainable value creation and upholding the highest standards of corporate governance. Our nine-months 2025 results reflect the effectiveness of our strategic growth initiatives across the upstream, midstream, and downstream segments.
During this period, we completed the acquisition of Olo and Olo west marginal fields and reached an agreement for the acquisition of an additional 40% equity interest in ND Western Limited. These acquisitions further strengthen our strategic position within Nigeria’s oil and gas landscape. The increased transparency and market visibility from our NGX listing have also deepened investor confidence, broadened our shareholder base, and positioned us for long-term growth.
Looking ahead, we remain focused on disciplined investments, strategic partnerships, and innovation to increase production, advance our energy-transition agenda and further diversify our revenue base. With clear strategy and strong fundamentals, we are confident in our ability to sustain growth and maximize value for our shareholders.”
Crude Oil Business
In the nine months ended 30 September 2025, total crude oil and condensate production increased by 24% to 4.17 mmbbls compared to 3.36 mmbbls in the corresponding period of 2024. Average daily production increased by 25% to 15.3kbbls/day compared to 12.3kbbls/days in 9M 2024.
This growth was primarily driven by higher output from the Ogbele Field and improved contribution from the Omerelu Field. The increase reflects the success of ongoing production optimization initiatives, enhanced operational efficiency, and the sustained reliability of key evacuation routes — notably the Alternative Crude Evacuation (ACE) system and the Trans Niger Pipeline (TNP).
Gas Business
Aradel recorded gas production volumes of 13.81Bcf in 9M 2025, a 27% increase compared to 9.8Bcf in 9M 2024. Average daily gas production rose by 39% to 50.6 mmscfd (9M 2024: 36.5mmscfd), supported by the commissioning of new gas wells at the Ogbele Field and increased associated gas production at Omerelu.
Notably, the Company achieved its highest-ever gas production rate of approximately 73 mmscf/d, following the successful implementation of the gas system revamp project, underscoring Aradel’s growing role in Nigeria’s domestic gas supply and energy transition agenda.
Refinery Business
Refined product volumes increased by 40% to 235.7 million litres in 9M 2025, up from 168.8 million litres in 9M 2024. This was driven by improved plant reliability, steady feedstock supply, and process efficiency gains. Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) and Naphtha were the major contributors, accounting for 29% and 32% of total production volumes, respectively.
During the period, Aradel completed the acquisition of the Ever Depot storage facility in Port Harcourt, a joint venture with Waltersmith, this acquisition will improve the uptime and minimize deferments resulting from tank top situations. In September 2025, the Company commenced a planned refinery maintenance shutdown, scheduled for completion in October 2025, to support long-term operational efficiency.
Health Safety, and Environment (HSE)
Safety remains a core priority for Aradel. The Company achieved 8.5 million manhours without a Lost Time Injury (LTI) across all operated assets during the period — a testament to its robust safety culture and the commitment of its workforce.
While two minor road transport incidents were recorded, there were no fatalities, LTIs, or medical treatment injuries (MTIs) in the period. Aradel continues to invest in process safety systems, workforce training, and operational risk management to maintain world-class HSE performance standards.
Financial Review
Revenue
Aradel Holdings delivered strong top-line growth, with total revenue rising by 43% year-on-year to ₦538.8 billion (9M 2024: ₦377.6 billion), driven by sustained momentum across all business segments.
Revenue from crude oil exports grew by 36% to ₦341.4 billion (9M 2025: N251.7 billion), supported by higher production volumes and reliable evacuation through both the TNP and ACE system. Crude sales rose to 3.05 mmbbls (9M 2024: 2.07mmbbls), accounting for 63% of the total revenue despite decline in realised crude oil prices.
Refined products revenues increased by 58% to ₦163.1 billion representing 30% of total revenue, driven by a 55% rise in sales volume to 230.8 mmltrs (9M 2024: 148.6 mmltrs). The growth demonstrates the Company’s expanding downstream footprint and strong market penetration.
Gas revenues advanced 11% to ₦34.3 billion (7% of total revenue), reflecting higher production volumes and improved realised prices of $1.64/mscf (9M 2024: $1.58/mscf).
Cost of Sales
Cost of sales comprises expenses relating to crude oil handling charges, depreciation & amortization, operations & maintenance as well as royalties & other statutory expenses which amounted to ₦304.1billion (9M 2024: ₦166.8 billion), reflecting increased costs in carrying out operational activity and statutory obligations aligned with higher production levels.
Crude handling charges rose 10% to N71.0 billion (M 2024: N64.7 billion), while operational and maintenance expenses grew by 184% to N38.9billon (9M 2024: N13.7 billion) largely driven by increased field costs at Omerelu field, host community development provisions under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and well maintenance activities to support operational efficiency.
Depreciation charge for the period increased by 36% to ₦91.7 billion (9M 2024: ₦67.2 billion), arising from higher hydrocarbon production, and the addition of the newly capitalised Well 16 in Ogbele field. Royalties & Other Statutory expenses increased by 151% to ₦79.0 billion (9M 2024: ₦31.5 billion). This was driven by increased production levels, additional royalty provisions, and NDDC Levy provisions. Stock adjustment increased to ₦17.3 billion (9M 2024: (₦27.3 billion)), largely reflecting the impact of lower inventory levels in the current period.
Operating Profit
In 9M 2025, gross profit rose by 11% to ₦234.7 billion (9M 2024: ₦210.8 billion), driven by the expansion of operational activities. The gross profit margin stood at 44%, compared to 56% in the prior period, reflecting the impact of lower realised crude oil price and higher crude oil production volumes resulting in increased depreciation charges associated with an enlarged asset base, and elevated operating costs.
General and Administrative expenses amounted to N81.2 billion versus N25.1 billion in 9M 2024. The increase was primarily due to staff costs, which reflects the implementation of the cash-settled share-based incentive scheme in Q4 2024 and salary review.
Operating profit stood at ₦167.5 billion, representing a marginal decline of 1% from ₦169.1 billion reported in 9M 2025, resulting from higher business operating costs in the period and lower realised crude oil prices.
Net financing costs
Net finance costs increased to ₦6.0 billion (up 394%) following additional borrowings to finance the Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria (SPDC) acquisition and other business operations, while finance income grew 49% to ₦11.1 billion, reflecting stronger returns from interest-bearing cash investments.
Share of profit of associates
Share of profits from associates rose sharply by 490% to ₦139.2 billion reflecting enhanced contributions from ND Western Limited and Renaissance Africa Energy Company.
Profit/(Loss) for the year
Aradel reported profit before tax of ₦300.7 billion up 57% from ₦191.5 billion in 9M 2024. Profit after tax for the period was ₦245.1 billion, a 122% increase from ₦110.6 billion in 9M 2024, driven by improved tax efficiency, and higher earnings contribution. Income tax expense for the period is estimated at ₦55.6 billion (Cash Tax ₦61.9 billion and Deferred tax credit ₦6.4 billion), relative to 9M 2024 tax expense of ₦80.9 billion.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Management
Total Assets
Total assets grew 12% year-to-date to ₦2.0 trillion (FY 2024: ₦1.7 trillion), primarily attributable to the Company’s strategic investments, including the acquisition of 6.01% equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited, an energy company focused on investments in deep value and brownfield upstream opportunities within Africa, and, the completion of Renaissance Africa Energy Holdings acquisition of the entire (100%) equity holding in the SPDC during the period.
Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Operating cashflow stood at ₦205.4 billion (9M 2024: ₦213.5billion), marginally lower due to settlement of income tax liabilities for 2024 Full Year assessment amounting to ₦38.9 billion as well as outstanding receivables for crude oil & gas sales and other proceeds worth ₦78.3 billion (to be received in Q4 2025).
Cash flow from Investing Activities
Net cash flow used in investing activities was ₦147.7 billion, up 99.4% (9M 2024: ₦74.1 billion). This increase is mainly driven by expanded CAPEX and strategic investments – additions to PPE, cash-financed investment in Renaissance amounting to ₦21.2 billion in 9M 2025 and investment of ₦34.6 billion in Chappal Energies.
Cash Flows from financing activities
Net cash flows used in financing activities declined by 18.9% to ₦54.5 billion (9M 2024: ₦67.2 billion). The movement was primarily driven by additional borrowings of ₦149.0 billion, dividend payment and repayments of borrowings and interests.
Despite the higher level of borrowings, the Group continues to maintain a robust liquidity position, with cash balances comfortably exceeding outstanding debt obligations.
Dividend Payment
The Board has approved an interim dividend of N10.00 per share for the nine-month period ending 30 September 2025, representing a 25% increase compared to the from the interim dividend paid declared in the prior period – reflecting the Company’s sustained profitability and commitment to delivering enhanced shareholder value.
Liquidity
The Balance sheet continues to remain healthy with a solid liquidity position
| 30 September 2025 | 31 December 2024 | ||
| Description | ₦’billion | ₦’billion | |
| Total Borrowings | 206.50 | 96.40 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 411.83 | 422.21 | |
| Net cash | 205.33 | 325.81 |
Capital Market
Market Wrap: NGX Shrinks as Equity Investors Lose N964b
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) shrank as equity investors lost about N964 billion in the local bourse last week. For four out of five trading sessions, bearish sentiment took centre stage, snapping weeks of sustained bullish momentum as investors locked in gains and rebalanced portfolios ahead of the month’s close.
Stock market analysts said the pullback came against the backdrop of mixed third-quarter earnings, particularly from the banking sector, which tempered investor optimism.
The Nigerian Exchange benchmark index declined by 0.98% week-on-week to close at 154,126.45 points, while the market capitalisation fell in tandem by N963.94 billion to settle at N97.83 trillion.
Investor sentiment remained largely tepid throughout the week, according to Cowry Asset Limited, reflected in the market breadth, which closed negative at 0.41x, as 29 stocks advanced while 70 declined.
Cowry Asset told investors in a note that the NGX trades within a corrective corridor for the short term, with the All-Share Index (ASI) hovering below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which reinforces short-term bearish momentum.
Interestingly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is inching toward the oversold region, hinting that some fundamentally strong, large-cap names may soon present attractive re-entry opportunities for medium-term investors, the investment firm said.
Despite the negative breadth, trading activity picked up pace, showing that investors were still active — albeit selective.
The weekly traded volume rose sharply by 102.7% week-on-week to 7.49 billion units, while value traded expanded 12.16% to N145.44 billion.
Similarly, the number of deals increased 7.85% to 159,598 trades, pointing to some rotational positioning within portfolios. Across the sectoral landscape, the mood was largely bearish, as four of the six key sectors under our watch finished in the red.
The Insurance, Consumer Goods, Banking, and Industrial Goods sectors were all pressured by profit-taking and weak sentiment in bellwether counters.
Top decliners include CADBURY, ZENITHBANK, DANGSUGAR, FIDELITYBNK, NIGERIAN BREWERIES, LAFARGE AFRICA, CORONATION, CORNERSTONE, DANGCEM, and ARADEL.
However, the Oil & Gas (+0.30%) and Commodity (+0.15%) indices managed to buck the trend, supported by gains in OKOMUOIL and OANDO, as investors continued to seek alpha played in select energy and commodity stocks amid the broad market weakness.
On the performance board, ASO SAVINGS (+56.1%), JULIUS BERGER (+13.3%), OANDO (+11.9%), BERGER PAINTS (+9.3%), and ETI (+8.2%) emerged as the week’s top gainers, drawing renewed investor attention.
Conversely, OMATEK (-21.9%), JOHNHOLT (-16.9%), CAVERTON (-16.2%), NAHCO (-15.9%), and ETRANZACT (- 15.3%) led the laggards’ chart, reflecting price corrections and fading confidence in the short term.
“Looking ahead, we expect the market to trade mixed in the near term, with direction to be shaped by investor reaction to outcome of fixed-income yields, fund rotation into safer assets, and the ongoing earnings season.
“In our view, the market currently needs a strong catalyst—possibly in the form of improved macro indicators or stronger-than-expected corporate results—to reignite a bullish spark and restore positive sentiment on the NGX.
“We continue to advise investors to take positions in fundamentally sound stocks with strong earnings power and returns,” Cowry Asset Managers said in the equities update.
Maritime
MOWCA, Singapore in talks for port modernisation, greener shipping pact
The Maritime Organisation of West and Central Africa (MOWCA) has commenced strategic talks with Singapore’s Maritime and Port Authority (MPA) to deepen cooperation on port modernisation, capacity building, and the transition to greener shipping among its member states.
During a bilateral meeting in Singapore, MOWCA’s Secretary General, Dr. Paul Adalikwu, met with the Chief Executive of the MPA, Ang Wee Keong, where he sought Singapore’s expertise in port infrastructure, digitalisation, and environmentally sustainable shipping practices.
Adalikwu said MOWCA was keen to draw from Singapore’s globally acclaimed port model to replicate similar standards across West and Central African ports.
“We are seeking closer working ties and the expertise of Singaporean authorities in areas such as human capital development, infrastructural upgrade and maintenance, and cargo handling,” he stated.
He further emphasised the importance of digitalisation in achieving efficiency at ports, advocating for a maritime single window system and harmonised documentation processes to ease import and export procedures.
According to him, “There is a need for harmonisation and single document submission for seamless end-to-end processing of import and export procedures in ports.”
On environmental sustainability, Adalikwu reaffirmed MOWCA’s commitment to the International Maritime Organisation’s (IMO) target of achieving net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by or around 2050, stressing that the organisation has set advisory timelines for member states to align with the goal.
“MOWCA is planning to reduce emissions by at least 20 per cent before 2030, and a technical collaboration with the Singaporean Maritime and Ports Authority would be helpful in achieving compliance with the IMO target by MOWCA states,” he said.
Adalikwu noted that a modernised port system capable of delivering efficient services is critical to driving the blue economy agenda at both national and sub-regional levels.
In his remarks, Keong commended MOWCA’s initiative and reaffirmed Singapore’s readiness to support the region’s maritime development ambitions.
“We appreciate your visit and express our willingness to collaborate with MOWCA on all requested areas. We are optimistic about the rapid maritime development of partnering MOWCA countries,” Keong stated.
Both sides agreed to reconvene in London later this year for the formal signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) that will outline the modalities for technical cooperation between the two organisations.
As part of the partnership gesture, Adalikwu also pledged the support of MOWCA’s 25 member states toward Singapore’s IMO Council seat in the forthcoming elections.
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