Business
Nigeria’s trade surplus soars 44% in Q2 2025 as non-oil exports surge
- Under Tinubu, a blueprint for Nigeria’s consumer credit economy is quietly unfolding
Nigeria recorded an upswing in its external trade position in the second quarter of 2025, as the country’s trade surplus widened by 44.3% to N7.46 trillion, up from N5.17 trillion in the previous quarter.
This is according to the latest Foreign Trade in Goods Statistics report by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The report highlights how buoyant export earnings outpaced import pressures in Q2 2025.
Nigeria’s total exports stood at N22.75 trillion in Q2, a 10.5% increase from Q1 and 28.4% higher than the same period in 2024. Imports, by contrast, slipped marginally by 0.9% quarter-on-quarter to N15.29 trillion. This dynamic created the wider surplus that has boosted Nigeria’s external account.
Crude oil, which contributed N11.97 trillion or 52.6% of total exports, posted a decline of 5.1% year-on-year and 7.6% compared to Q1. The fall was, however, offset by strong growth in other petroleum products, which nearly doubled year-on-year to N7.74 trillion, reflecting gains from gas exports and refined petroleum products. Non-oil exports also proved resilient, rising to N3.05 trillion, representing 13.4% of total exports.
A deeper look at sectoral performance shows that manufactured goods exports were one of the standout stories of the quarter. The sector expanded to N803.8 billion, a 173% increase from Q1 and a 67% rise compared with the same quarter of 2024. Key manufactured exports included vessels, floating platforms, and aluminum alloys, shipped largely to European and Asian markets.
Solid minerals also strengthened their contribution, with exports jumping by 31% from Q1 to N77.3 billion, led by shipments of cement clinkers and mineral substances to destinations like China and Cameroon.
This performance highlights a gradual diversification of Nigeria’s export base beyond hydrocarbons, though oil and gas still accounted for more than 85% of total exports.
Imports remain heavy as China tightens grip
On the import side, Asia dominated with N7.65 trillion, representing 50% of total imports. China remained Nigeria’s largest import partner, supplying N4.96 trillion worth of goods — more than double that of the United States, which followed with N2.16 trillion. Other key import sources included India, the Netherlands, and the United Arab Emirates.
The bulk of imports comprised machinery, refined petroleum products, wheat, and pharmaceuticals. Manufactured imports were particularly weighty, at N7.88 trillion, showing Nigeria’s continued reliance on foreign industrial inputs. Agricultural imports also grew to N1.18 trillion, driven by wheat imports from Canada and Russia.
Key trading partners
Spain retained its position as Nigeria’s largest export destination in Q2, receiving goods worth N2.47 trillion, or 10.9% of total exports. It was followed by India with N1.98 trillion, France with N1.62 trillion, the Netherlands with N1.54 trillion, and Canada with N1.43 trillion. Together, these five countries accounted for nearly 40% of Nigeria’s total exports.
Regionally, Europe remained the top export market, absorbing 38% of Nigeria’s shipments. Asia followed with 33%, the Americas accounted for 16%, while Africa took 13%. Within Africa, ECOWAS countries stood out with exports worth N1.93 trillion, dominated by petroleum products such as crude oil, kerosene jet fuel, and gas oil.
On the import side, Asia maintained its dominance, supplying half of Nigeria’s total imports at N7.65 trillion. China led the way with N4.96 trillion worth of goods, more than double the United States at N2.16 trillion. Key imports included refined petroleum products, wheat, and telecommunication machinery, highlighting Nigeria’s reliance on external supply for essential goods.
Key transport hubs
Maritime transport continued to dominate Nigeria’s trade logistics, carrying 99% of exports and 95% of imports.
Apapa Port retained its primacy, handling N17.93 trillion worth of exports and N6.96 trillion worth of imports.
The Lekki Deep Sea Port also emerged as a growing hub, accounting for over 10% of exports and 16% of imports, pointing to its increasing role in easing Nigeria’s port congestion.
Implications for economy and outlook
The sharp rise in the trade surplus offers Nigeria breathing space to strengthen its foreign reserves and reduce pressure on the naira.
The positive balance could help stabilize the macroeconomic environment, though the dominance of petroleum in export earnings leaves the country vulnerable to external shocks.
The promising growth in manufactured and solid mineral exports signals a slow but notable shift toward diversification.
However, the persistently high import bill, especially in machinery and refined products, shows the need for deeper industrialization.
Credit: Nairametrics
Power
NERC holds Regional seminar for Judges on electricity market reforms
Judges and critical stakeholders in the Lagos State Judiciary service today began a three-day workshop aimed at deepening the judiciary’s understanding of the evolving legal and regulatory framework governing Nigeria’s electricity market.
The workshop, organised by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), under the aegies of its Regional Seminar for Judges of State High Courts programme, is holding at the Lagos State High Court Annex, Osborne , Ikoyi, Lagos. It has as its theme: “Nigeria’s Electricity Market in Transition: Law, Regulation and the Courts.”
Speaking at the opening session yesterday, the NERC Chairman, Dr. Musiliu Oseni, stressed the need for stronger collaboration with the judiciary to ensure the success of Nigeria’s ongoing electricity market reforms, saying well-informed judicial decisions are critical to sustaining investor confidence, protecting consumers and advancing the country’s power sector.
Dr. Oseni described electricity as one of the country’s most strategic national priorities after security, noting that virtually every sector of the economy depends on reliable electricity. He explained that the seminar was designed to provide judicial officers with a deeper understanding of the technical, commercial and legal issues shaping the electricity sector as Nigeria implements far-reaching reforms introduced under the Electricity Act 2023.
Oseni noted that following the constitutional amendment of March 2023 and the enactment of the Electricity Act, Nigeria’s electricity industry has entered a new phase of decentralisation, allowing states to establish and regulate their own electricity markets.
He emphasised that the objective of the seminar was not to influence judicial independence but to familiarise judges with the technical nature of the electricity industry so they can better appreciate the complexities involved when adjudicating electricity-related disputes.
“The intention is not to interfere with the course of justice but to expose My Lords to the intricacies of the electricity sector. Better understanding of the industry will ultimately support sound judicial decisions that strengthen the sector,” he stated.
He disclosed that NERC has already transferred regulatory oversight to 16 states, describing the development as a major milestone in Nigeria’s electricity reform agenda.
According to him, the decentralisation of electricity regulation will improve consumer protection, bring regulatory institutions closer to electricity users, enable quicker resolution of customer complaints and allow tariff decisions to reflect local economic realities.
While acknowledging the benefits of the reforms, the NERC Chairman said they have also introduced fresh legal and regulatory challenges that require the judiciary’s understanding.
Dr. Oseni cautioned that the transition introduces new legal complexities, explaining that disputes in the electricity sector would no longer be limited to consumers, operators and the national regulator but could also involve state electricity regulators, multiple regulatory agencies and electricity market participants operating across different jurisdictions.
“As we speak today, the Commission has already issued transfer orders to 16 states, enabling them to assume regulatory oversight of their respective electricity markets,” he disclosed.
Oseni cited a 2016 court judgment which, according to him, prevented the Commission from fully exercising its regulatory powers and contributed to electricity subsidy liabilities estimated at ₦520 billion in 2019, equivalent to nearly ₦2 trillion at current exchange rates.
The NERC boss further disclosed that the seminar would feature presentations by Nigerian and international electricity experts who would share practical experiences, analyse previous judicial decisions affecting the sector and engage participants in discussions on emerging legal issues arising from Nigeria’s electricity market reforms.
He encouraged judges to actively participate in the sessions by asking questions and sharing perspectives, expressing confidence that the interaction would foster stronger collaboration between regulators and the judiciary.
Delivering a goodwill message on behalf of the Chief Judge of Lagos State, Honourable Justice Kazeem Aloba, the Administrative Judge of Lagos Division, Honourable Justice Atinuke Ipaye welcomed the Commission’s initiative, describing it as timely and necessary.
Justice Ipaye observed that electricity remains one of Nigeria’s most critical development issues, affecting homes, businesses and public institutions alike.
“There is hardly any Nigerian who is not affected by electricity, whether through generation, transmission, distribution, metering or payment. The sector touches every aspect of our daily lives,” she remarked.
She noted that the liberalisation of the electricity industry has introduced new market participants, including generation companies (GenCos) and distribution companies (DisCos), making continuous judicial education necessary to keep pace with the sector’s evolution.
She urged judges to take advantage of the three-day seminar to deepen their understanding of the industry’s legal and commercial realities, saying such knowledge would improve the quality of judicial decisions in electricity-related disputes.
The Regional Seminar for Judges of State High Courts will feature technical presentations, panel discussions and case studies led by Nigerian and international experts as part of NERC’s efforts to strengthen judicial capacity and enhance collaboration between the judiciary and electricity regulators in support of Nigeria’s ongoing electricity market reforms.
The programme forms part of NERC’s broader efforts to deepen institutional collaboration with the judiciary as Nigeria continues its transition towards a decentralised and more competitive electricity market.
Energy
Nigeria’s oil, gas local content reach 61% in 15 years
The Executive Secretary, Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB), Felix Ogbe, an engineer, yesterday revealed that in the last 15 years, local participation in the country’s oil and gas sector recorded a significant rise from less than five per cent to 61 per cent.
He made this known yesterday while delivering his speech at the 25th Edition of the Nigeria Oil and Gas Energy Week currently ongoing in Abuja. He spoke on the theme: “Shaping the Next Phase of Local Content Growth.”
The NCDMB boss attributed the increase to the signing of the NOGICD Act of 2010, describing it as accounting for the success.
To sustain this increase, Ogbe said, the next phase must focus on manufacturing, competence and global competitiveness, if the country is to achieve its target of becoming a $1 trillion economy.
“Over the last 15 years, Nigeria’s local content journey has become a remarkable success story,” Ogbe declared, adding that, “Through the implementation of the NOGICD Act of 2010, we have transformed local participation in the oil and gas industry from marginal levels of less than five per cent to 61 per cent a situation where Nigerians now own assets, provide services, execute projects, and contribute significantly across the oil and gas value chain.”
Although he expressed satisfaction with the feat, Ogbe nonetheless said the next phase of the board’s strategy is to move beyond mere compliance metrics toward deep-rooted industrialisation and global competitiveness.
“These achievements deserve to be celebrated. However, they also compel us to ask a fundamental question: What comes next? The next phase of local content growth must go beyond participation and compliance. It must focus on capacity expansion, industrialization, manufacturing, sustainability and global competitiveness,” the NCDMB boss said.
To ensure a sustenance of this achievement and further upscaling, he disclosed that the NCDMB, following in line with Presidential Directives, has partnered with NIPEX, NUPRC, NMDPRA, NNPC, and the Oil Producers Trade Section (OPTS) to create a harmonised ranking system.
To this end, the Board will commence modification of its various certification portals in readiness for the joint industry capacity audits of in-country manufacturers and service providers operating within the oil and gas industry.
The audit, he added, will begin in the third quarter 2026.
“The outcome of the in-country capacity audit will provide a detailed understanding of existing capabilities, eliminate intermediaries, improve contracting cycle timelines, and ensure direct patronage of established service providers for business sustainability and growth.
“The findings from the exercise will also enable the Board and industry stakeholders to make informed decisions regarding investment priorities, technology partnerships, financing support, and policy interventions,” Ogbe added.
The Board, he revealed, also maintained a zero tolerance against operators failing to remit their statutory fees into the Nigerian Content Development Fund (NCDF)- a fund meant for building domestic capability. To ensure full compliance, possessing an NCDF Compliance Certificate will now be major criteria for doing business.
“It is therefore unacceptable for any company to withhold, delay, or fail to remit its statutory contributions to the Nigerian Content Development Fund (NCDF). The Board will continue to strengthen its compliance and enforcement mechanisms and will not hesitate to invoke all available regulatory measures to ensure compliance, because possession of a valid NCDF Compliance Certificate is increasingly becoming an important requirement for participation in industry opportunities and regulatory engagements,” Ogbe added.
Power
Togo, Benin Republic, Niger fail to pay $12.66m for Nigeria’s electricity in Q1 2026
- Fed Govt incurs ₦358.32b subsidy obligation
The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has said Togo, Republic of Benin and Niger Republic failed to pay $12.66 million electricity bill in the First Quarter of 2026 Q1 2026.
Of the $17.48million bill that was issued to them, the three international customers, remitted $4.84 million, being 27.57 per cent for the energy the electricity Generation Companies (GenCos) supplied them in the period under review.
This was made known in the 2026 Q1 Report the commission issued yesterday.
NERC said the “remittances made by bilateral customers (domestic and international) and special customers for invoices issued in 2026/Q1 by the MO: The three international bilateral customers being supplied by GenCos in the NESI made a payment of $4.82 million against the cumulative invoice of $17.48 million issued by the MO for services rendered in 2026/Q1, translating to a remittance performance of 27.57 per cent.”
According to the report, the domestic bilateral customers made a cumulative payment of ₦5,816.28 million against the invoice of ₦6,122.35 million issued to them the MO for services rendered in 2026/Q1, translating to 95.00 per cent remittance performance.
NERC added that during Q1 2026, three international and nine domestic bilateral customers made payments of $6.64 million and ₦2,589.07 million, respectively, towards outstanding MO invoices from previous quarters.
In the breakdown, the report said specifically, the MO received a total of $4.05 million from Société Béninoise d’Energie Electrique (SBEE), comprising payments for Ughelli ($3.28 million) and Paras ($0.77 million).
NERC also said $1.87 million was received from Mainstream – Société Nigérienne d’Electricité (NIGELEC), and $0.72 million from Paras – Compagnie Energie Electrique du Togo (CEET).
According to the report, the special customer (Ajaokuta Steel Co. Ltd and the host community) did not make any payment towards the ₦676.88 million (NBET) and ₦189.38 million (MO) invoices received in 2026/Q1.
NERC stressed that this continues a longstanding trend of non-payment by this customer, and the Commission has communicated the need for intervention on this issue to the relevant Federal Government authorities.
In the period under review, the total revenue collected by all DisCos in 2026/Q1 was ₦597.56 billion out of the ₦756.93 billion that was billed to customers.
This, said the report, translates to a collection efficiency of 78.95 per cent.
In comparison, NERC stressed that the total revenue collected by all DisCos in 2025/Q4 was ₦630.93 billion out of the ₦795.06 billion billed to customers, which translated to a 79.36 per cent collection efficiency. This means that at an aggregate level, DisCos recorded a 0.41pp decrease in collection efficiency between 2025/Q4 and 2026/Q1.
On subsidy, the report revealed that due to the absence of cost-reflective tariffs across all DisCos, the government incurred a subsidy obligation of ₦358.32 billion, this represents a ₦60.46 billion (-14.44 per cent) reduction in FGN subsidy compared to 2025/Q4 (₦418.79 billion).
The government subsidy, according to NERC, accounted for 51.95 per cent of the total GenCo invoice, which is a 0.08pp decrease compared to 2025/Q4, when the subsidy accounted for 52.03 per cent of the total GenCo invoice.
The report explained that “The key driver of this reduction in FGN subsidy obligation is the decrease in energy offtake of the DisCos by -8.56 per cent between 2025/Q4 and 2026/Q1.”
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