Economy
Fiscal, tax reforms have expanded revenue, improved economy
• CPPE calls for fiscal discipline from subnationals
Nigeria’s fiscal and tax reforms have delivered important progress in expanding revenue and improving fiscal sustainability. This was the submission of the Centre for the Promotion for Private Enterprise Chief Executive, Dr. Muda Yusuf, yesterday.
Dr. Yusuf, an economist, in a position paper on the country’s fiscal and tax reforms in the last two years, a copy of which was made available to The Nation, charged that arising from what has been achieved thus far, the next phase must focus on deepening revenue diversification, enhancing spending efficiency and aligning fiscal outcomes with real economic performance. This, he said, can be achieved with prudent management, stakeholder collaboration, and social sensitivity. He added that these reforms can lay a solid foundation for a more resilient, productive and inclusive Nigerian economy.
According to the CPPE boss, two landmark policy measures, notably the removal of fuel subsidy and the unification of exchange rates, have significantly boosted government revenues, expanded fiscal space and improved the capacity for public investment.
The CPPE though contended that the country is undergoing a major fiscal transition aimed at strengthening revenue mobilisation, fiscal sustainability and economic resilience, the dividend are already visible. It noted that collections from Value Added Tax (VAT) and Company Income Tax (CIT) have increased, reflecting stronger compliance and a gradual recovery in economic activities. Notably, the subnational governments are reporting higher revenues and increased allocations to agriculture, infrastructure, and social development.
Although the economist agreed that rising inflation and currency depreciation have moderated the real value of these gains, underscoring the need for prudent fiscal management and realistic expectations, it nonetheless insisted that the recent reforms have driven strong nominal revenue growth.
“Fuel subsidy removal freed trillions of naira in fiscal resources; exchange rate unification boosted naira-denominated oil revenues; VAT and CIT collections improved through enhanced compliance and enforcement. Despite these advances, the real fiscal impact is tempered by high inflation and exchange rate pressures. It is therefore important to assess fiscal outcomes in both nominal and real terms to maintain credible expectations and policy balance,” Dr. Yusuf said.
Dr. Yusuf noted that noted that recent tax measures have introduced several positive features into the economy including reliefs for producers and priority sectors; higher exemption thresholds for low-income earners and small businesses; zero-rated VAT on essential goods such as food, pharmaceuticals, and educational materials.
He however said that private sector concerns remain over compliance costs, the increase in capital gains tax from 10 per cent to 30 per cent and possible welfare implications of personal income tax changes. He therefore appealed that effective implementation should be guided by stakeholder consultation, flexibility and evidence-based adjustments.
The CPPE boss regretted that despite Nigeria’s large economy and population, the country’s budget remains relatively small when compared to other economies with less population.
A 2025 comparison of national budgets in U.S. dollar terms highlights Nigeria’s fiscal limitations. In the current fiscal year, Nigeria’s $36.7 billion budget is dwarfed by South Africa’s $141 billion; Algeria’s $126 billion; Egypt’s $91 billion and that of Morocco which is $73 billion.
“This limits fiscal capacity for transformative investments in infrastructure, human capital and social welfare. The situation underscores the urgency of revenue diversification, public-private partnerships, and enhanced non-tax revenue mobilization,” he explained.
The CPPE submitted that with limited fiscal space, spending efficiency is paramount. Priority areas it noted should include infrastructure comprising roads, power, ports and digital infrastructure, with the aim to reduce business costs and improve competitiveness; productivity, to be targeted at supporting manufacturing, MSMEs, and technology-driven enterprises; food security, that is investment in agriculture, storage, irrigation and logistics to stabilise prices and supply; security, strengthening of law enforcement, intelligence, and military capability and human capital through increased investment in health and education to build a skilled and productive workforce.
“Governments at all levels should minimie waste, link spending to measurable outcomes, and comply strictly with fiscal responsibility benchmarks,” the CPPE admonished.
The CPPE agreed that state governments play a pivotal role in national fiscal sustainability and given that many of these subnationals have benefited from higher federal allocations, improved internally generated revenue (IGR) and expanded investments in key sectors there is a need for them to align fiscal priorities with local economic needs — supported by transparency and accountability , to promote balanced national development and reduce dependence on federal transfers.
“The long-standing five per cent fuel levy for road maintenance, legislated since 2007, has never been implemented due to affordability and social concerns. While its fiscal rationale is clear, activation should consider economic conditions, timing, and social welfare implications to ensure broad acceptance and minimal disruption,” Dr. Yusuf said.
He therefore recommended that there is a need to adjust fiscal assessments for inflation and exchange rate effects and communicate outcomes transparently.
“There is also the need to broaden and diversify the revenue base by improving tax efficiency, expand the tax net and optimise non-tax revenues and national assets. Also important is the need to prioritise high-impact spending by focusing on infrastructure, food systems, productivity, and security. Strengthening subnational fiscal capacity by supporting fiscal autonomy, accountability and efficient resource use in states; implementation of tax reforms with flexibility by maintaining continuous dialogue with stakeholders and refine policies as needed and also by reinforcing fiscal discipline by ensuring strict adherence to fiscal responsibility frameworks across all levels of government,” Dr. Yusuf submitted.
Economy
Budget 2026: Government places hold on new capital projects
• Caps spending at 70%
The Federal Government has released the 2026 Budget Call Circular, setting strict guidelines for Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) as they prepare next year’s spending proposals.
A major component of the circular is the decision to fix sectoral capital budget ceilings for 2026 at 70 percent of the capital allocations approved for each MDA in the 2025 fiscal year.
According to the circular signed by the Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Senator Abubakar Bagudu, the new framework means government has already determined how much every MDA can spend on capital projects in 2026. Each department’s budget ceiling for 2026 will be 70 percent of what they were given to spend on projects in 2025.
The minister stated that the approach is tied to the administration’s plan to release 30 percent of the 2025 capital budget within the current fiscal year. The remaining 70 percent will be retained as the foundation for the 2026 capital budget rather than rolled over through the usual extension process.
Under the new rules, MDAs must restrict their 2026 submissions to only projects and the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) codes contained in the approved 2025 budget.
“Submissions that exceed the 70 percent ceiling or include unapproved new projects will be considered non-compliant,” the document warned, adding that the Budget Office of the Federation (BOF) will adjust any such proposals to align with the approved limits.
On overheads, the circular directed MDAs to work strictly within their 2025 overhead ceilings as contained in the Executive Proposal. While acknowledging the impact of inflation on operational costs, the government noted ongoing revenue pressures. Nonetheless, Bagudu assured that efforts will continue “to achieve full release of the overhead budget.”
The circular further instructed MDAs to upload 70 percent of their 2025 capital budget for continuation in 2026. These rollovers must reflect the country’s most urgent needs and align with the administration’s priorities in national security, the economy, education, health, agriculture, infrastructure, power and energy, social safety nets, and women and youth empowerment.
“All Ministers/Chief Executives/Accounting Officers and other officers responsible for budget preparation are advised to read this Budget Call Circular carefully,” the circular stated. Bagudu added, “All are also enjoined to strictly adhere to these guidelines and instructions including, but not limited to, the revenue and cost optimisation measures indicated herein.”
The minister stressed that the 2026 budget must reflect the policies and strategies set out in the 2026–2028 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper, which serves as the Federal Government’s pre-budget statement.
He noted that global and domestic economic indicators point toward gradually improving activity, which informs the medium-term revenue and expenditure outlook.
Bagudu said the government remains committed to improving the efficiency and quality of public spending. He explained that federal expenditure will continue to undergo rigorous scrutiny to ensure only essential activities are funded and that value for money is achieved. He also noted ongoing reforms to strengthen budget formulation, implementation, monitoring and evaluation.
As part of the preparation process, the 2026 budget will be compiled using the Budget Preparation Subsystem (BPS) on the GIFMIS platform. All MDAs are required to prepare and submit their budget proposals through the online system. He disclosed that relevant personnel will be re-trained to ensure they can use the platform effectively.
The BOF has already prepared personnel cost estimates for each MDA using data from the Integrated Personnel and Payroll Information System (IPPIS) and earlier submissions. “Each MDA will be advised accordingly of its personnel cost budget for FY 2026,” the ministry said.
To support MDAs during the process, the BOF confirmed that assigned schedule and sector officers will be available to offer technical assistance. The Budget Help-Desk will also provide online support via 08000-CALLBOF (08000 2255 263) or through the BOF website.
MDAs with access to the Galaxy Backbone IP-phone system may also call 595186, 595193, or 595194. However, the circular made it clear that ultimate responsibility rests with agency heads. “The Chief Executive/Accounting Officer of each MDA takes responsibility for proper preparation and prompt submission of its budget,” it stated.
All Government Owned Enterprises (GOEs) must submit their budgets via the Budget Information Management and Monitoring System (BIMMS) by Tuesday, 9 December 2025. MDAs using the GIFMIS BPS platform are also to complete their submissions by the same deadline. The circular noted that it is not the duty of Budget Officers to upload budgets on behalf of any MDA or GOE.
The minister directed every Minister, Chief Executive and Accounting Officer to immediately share the circular with all parastatals and agencies under their supervision to ensure full compliance with the guidelines ahead of the 2026 budget cycle.
Economy
Nigeria nets N2.06 trillion VAT in Q2 2025, says NBS
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said the aggregate Value Added Tax (VAT) stood at N2.06 trillion in Q2 2025. This is according to the VAT Q2 2025 Report released in Abuja on Tuesday.
The report shows a decrease of 0.03 per cent on a quarter-on-quarter basis from N2.06 trillion recorded in Q1 2025.
The report also showed that local payments recorded were N1.09 trillion while foreign VAT payments contributed N459.95 billion, while import VAT contributed N508.55 billion in Q2 2025.
On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the report showed that real estate activities recorded the highest growth rate at 155.21 per cent , followed by the activities of Agriculture, forestry and fishing at 23.64 per cent.
This was followed by Information and communication at 17.75 per cent .
“On the other hand, human health and social work activities had the lowest growth rate at –68.34 per cent , followed by electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply with – 45.20 per cent.
“This was followed by Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities at –29.36 per cent.”
In terms of sectoral contributions, the report showed the top three activities with the largest shares in Q2 2025 were manufacturing at 27.19 per cent, information and communication at 20.76 per cent and mining and quarrying at 15.04 per cent.
“On the other hand, activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods and services-producing activities of households for own use recorded the least share at 0.005 per cent.
“This was followed by activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies at 0.02 per cent, and water supply, sewerage, waste management at 0.03 per cent.”
However, on a year-on-year basis, it showed that VAT collections in Q2 2025, increased by 32.15 per cent from Q2 2024.
Meanwhile the aggregate VAT for Q1 2025 stood at N2.06 trillion, showing an increase of 6.02 per cent from the N1.95 religion recorded in Q4 2024.
According to the VAT Q1 2025 report local payments recorded were N1.10trillion while foreign VAT payments contributed N454.76 billion, while import VAT contributed N507.00 billion.
On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the report showed that electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply recorded the highest growth rate at 136.71 per cent , followed by the activities of administrative and support service activities at 45.24 per cent . This was followed by Professional, scientific and technical activities at 39.00 per cent.
“On the other hand, activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies had the lowest growth rate at 35.70 per cent , followed by wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles; and real estate activities at –14.51 per cent and –11.54 per cent , respectively. ”
In terms of sectoral contributions, the top three activities with the largest shares in Q1 2025 were manufacturing at 26.03 per cent, information and communication at 17.51 per cent and mining and quarrying at 17.02 per cent.
“On the other hand, activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods and services-producing activities of households for own use recorded the least share at 0.004 per cent.
“This was followed by activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies at 0.02 per cent, and water supply, sewerage, waste management at 0.04 per cent.”
However, on a year-on-year basis, it showed that VAT collections in Q1 2025, increased by 44.24 per cent from Q1 2024.
Economy
ICPC: Tax evasion, cybercrime, others fuel Africa’s $50b yearly financial leak
By Grace Edet
Africa is losing more than $50 billion every year to illicit financial flows (IFFs), a drain that is stifling development, eroding public revenues and undermining the continent’s long-term economic goals, the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC) has warned.
ICPC Chairman, Dr. Musa Aliyu, gave the warning on Wednesday at the RealNews Magazine 13th Anniversary Lecture in Lagos, where he described the persistent capital flight as “one of the most devastating drains on Africa’s development capacity.”
According to him, the lost funds—diverted through tax evasion, corruption, illegal mining, wildlife trafficking, profit shifting, and cyber-enabled crime, could have financed schools, hospitals, roads and other critical public infrastructure.
He said: “Illicit financial flows, whether through tax evasion, corruption or cybercrime, have become a silent crisis that threatens Africa’s sovereignty and the future of its youth.”
Aliyu disclosed that ICPC investigations have exposed cases where multinational corporations manipulated trade figures and inflated operating costs to evade taxes. In one instance, he said, a major firm exaggerated its expenses to shrink its taxable profit, adding: “The amount lost would have been enough to construct a world-class hospital in Nigeria.”
He described trade mispricing, profit shifting and tax evasion as “some of the biggest contributors to financial leakages,” noting that corrupt officials also worsened the crisis by diverting public funds through multiple bank accounts, often with the collusion of financial institutions.
The ICPC chairman warned that Africa’s rapid digital transition, where mobile-money usage has surpassed 50 percent in several countries, has exposed the region to an unprecedented wave of cyber-enabled crimes.
He said: “Cyber criminals are becoming more sophisticated. Ransomware attacks, cryptocurrency-based laundering and mobile-money fraud are growing threats.”
Aliyu added that criminal networks often possess more advanced tools and resources than enforcement agencies, making it increasingly difficult to track stolen funds once they leave African jurisdictions. He also highlighted ongoing ICPC investigations into ghost-worker syndicates manipulating payroll systems to divert salaries.
To curb the losses, he urged the National Assembly to speed up the passage of the Whistleblower Protection Bill, stressing that citizens cannot provide critical intelligence “if they are not protected.”
He also called for stronger cyber laws, improved digital infrastructure, dedicated training for enforcement agencies, and full implementation of the Malabo Convention on Cybersecurity and Data Protection.
He emphasised the need for African countries to adopt a coordinated approach to asset recovery and demand the return of looted funds and cultural artefacts held abroad.
“We must secure our financial systems and protect our digital space. Only then can Africa realise its full potential,” he said.
Chairperson of the event and former Chief Judge of Lagos State, Justice Ayotunde Phillips, also urged African governments and the private sector to prioritise the continent’s development and cybersecurity agenda.
She warned that growing vulnerabilities in digital transactions were worsening capital flight from the continent, stressing: “We should not joke with this; progress requires commitment from both government and private actors.”
Phillips said Africa had the capacity to strengthen its economic and security frameworks, but success would depend on consistency and serious implementation of agreed plans.
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