Energy
NUPRC records 16 high impact achievements post-PIA
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has said it has achieved 16 high impact feats since its establishment four years ago despite the legacy challenges it inherited from the pre-Petroleum Industry Act era.
According to a statement signed by the Commission’s Head, Media and Strategic Communication, Eniola Akinkuotu, in 2022, 2023 and 2024, the NUPRC surpassed its revenue target by 18.3 per cent, 14.65 per cent and 84.2 per cent respectively despite fluctuations in oil production and prices thus contributing largely to the country’s economic growth.
Still, it noted that between 2024 and 2025, it approved 79 Field Development Plans (FDP), that is, 41 in 2024 and 38 YTD 2025, with potential investment of $39.98 billion, made up of $20.55b in 2024 and $19.43b in YTD 2025.
NUPRC further said since its inception, crude oil production has increased with current average daily production of 1.65Mbopd expected to increase further with the Project 1Mbopd initiative which is aimed at achieving 2.5 Mbopd in 2027 compared to NUPRC commencement.
“Prior to the establishment of the Commission, the licensing rounds were opaque. They were beclouded by political influence which made the process lack credibility. However, the NUPRC with the support of President Bola Tinubu, transformed the process to be fully digital thereby enhancing transparency and credibility. It was the most transparent bid round on record in Nigeria’s upstream petroleum history as it leveraged digital technology, devoid of any human interference, in a manner adjudged to be in line with global best practices which was even attested to by the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI),” the Commission said in a statement.
In line with the PIA 2021, implementing the ‘Drill or Drop’ policy which prescribes that unexplored acreages are to be relinquished, has also been implemented. The policy is designed to ensure the optimal use of oil assets and prevent dormant fields from tying up potential reserves. This policy successfully identified 400 dormant oil fields and has also propelled complacent oil companies to take quick action.
It noted further that the rig count in the upstream oil and gas sector, rose geometrically from eight in 2021 to 69 as of October 2, 2025. The latest rig count of 69 which comprises 40 active rigs, eight on standby, five on warm stack, four on cold stack and 12 on the move, represents a 762.5 per cent increase in barely four years. The number is expected to increase even further in the coming months. This shows a renewed investor confidence in Nigeria and that the right investment climate prevails now in the Nigeria upstream as daily actioned by the NUPRC.
The Commission approved divestments running into billions of dollars in 2024. From the Nigeria Agip Oil Company (NAOC) to Oando Energy Resources; Equinor to Chappal Energies; Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited to Seplat Energies; and Shell Development Company Nigeria Limited to Renaissance Africa Energy. The divestment is about investor portfolio re-ordering to focus on deep-offshore development.
To give meaning to the intent of the PIA, 2021, the Commission in consultation with stakeholders has developed 24 regulations. So far 19 have been gazetted while five await gazetting. These forward-thinking Regulations serve as tools for transparency and creation of enabling investment climate and benchmark best practices
In gas flaring commercialization efforts, the commission completed awards of flare sites to successful bidders under the Nigerian Gas Flare Commercialisation Programme (NGFCP). The programme is aimed at eliminating gas flaring and attracting at least $2.5 billion in investments.
Still, the Host Community Development Trusts have remitted N122.34b and over $168.91m as of October 2025. This translates to a combined remittance of over N358.67b based on the prevalent exchange rate in enthroning a conducive host community environment in Nigeria. The Commission is also overseeing at least 536 projects at various stages of completion including schools, health centers, roads and vocational centers being funded by the trust fund.
It is worthy of mention that as part of its mandate to develop the country’s hydrocarbon, the Commission has recorded 306 development wells drilled and completed between 2022 to date. It has also removed hindrances to exploration with 2D and 3D Seismic Data with the issuance of Nigeria’s first Petroleum Exploration Licence (PEL) for a large offshore geophysical survey covering 56,000 km² of 3D seismic and gravity data.
Furthermore, the Commission has reprocessed 17,000 line-kilometres of 2D seismic data and 28,000 square kilometres of 3D seismic data, producing sharper, higher-resolution images of the country’s petroleum systems thereby reducing the uncertainties that once hindered exploration decisions.
Other data acquisition includes: 11,300 Sq.km of newly acquired 3D data, processed to PSDM and 80,000 Sq.km of Multibeam Echo Sounding & Seafloor Geochemical Coring data.
In 2021, the average daily crude oil losses stood at 102,900 barrels per day or 37.6 million barrels per year. However, due to combined efforts of the General Security Forces and Private Security Contractors (TANTITA) as well as collaborative effort of the Commission this has reduced by 90 per cent to specifically 9,600bpd in September 2025. Furthermore, two pioneer regulations introduced by the Commission have also contributed to the success, namely: The Upstream Measurement Regulation and the Advanced Cargo Declaration Regulation respectively, have contributed as pioneer efforts at achieving transparency in hydrocarbon accounting.
Even outside the shores of Nigeria, the engineer Gbenga Komolafe-led NUPRC has continued to show leadership as it championed the establishment of the African Petroleum Regulators Forum (AFRIPERF). AFRIPERF provides regulators with the mechanism to harmonise oil and gas development policies to facilitate cross-border infrastructure development, benchmark fiscals and present strong voice for Africa in hydrocarbon advocacy globally.
Energy
Eight OPEC+ Members to Raise Oil Output by 137,000 bpd
The eight members of the OPEC+ group agreed to raise oil production by 137,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December, while pausing further increases from January to March 2026 due to seasonality, according to an OPEC statement on Sunday.
The group, comprising Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, met virtually on Sunday to review global oil market conditions and the outlook.
The 137,000-bpd output increase, representing a partial and gradual return of the 1.65 million bpd additional voluntary cuts announced in April 2023, was made in light of a steady global economic outlook and healthy market fundamentals, reflected in low oil inventories.
The countries also reaffirmed their commitment to closely monitor market developments and maintain full flexibility to pause or reverse the adjustments, including the 2.2 million bpd voluntary cuts announced in November 2023.
At their previous meeting on Oct. 5, the eight producers had decided to raise output by the same amount of 137,000 bpd for November.
The next meeting of the eight-member OPEC+ group is scheduled for Nov. 30. OPEC+ production cuts had reached 5.85 million bpd in March, equivalent to around 5.7% of global demand.
These cuts reflect cumulative measures announced by member countries since late 2022, including the 2 million bpd reduction in October 2022, the 1.65 million bpd voluntary cut by eight members in April 2023, and the 2.2 million bpd additional voluntary reduction in November 2023.
Member countries fully returned the 2.2 million bpd cut by the end of September and began a gradual rollback of the 1.65 million bpd cut in October. #8 OPEC+ Members to Raise Output by 137,000 bpd. #8 OPEC+ Members to Raise Oil Output by 137,000 bpd.
Energy
Oil Prices Increase as OPEC+ Seeks to Avoid Supply Glut
Oil prices increased on Monday after the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies’ members (OPEC+) moved to avoid creating a supply glut in the global commodity market.
The oil group decided to pause further production hikes for the next quarter, a step seen as an effort to prevent a potential supply glut as demand slows and tensions between Russia and Ukraine intensify.
Brent crude was trading at $65.21 per barrel, up around 1% from the previous close of $64.57. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) also increased by 1.1% to $61.37, compared to $60.69 in the prior session.
The eight members of the OPEC+ group agreed to raise oil production by 137,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December, while pausing further increases from January to March 2026 due to seasonality, according to OPEC’s statement on Sunday.
The group, comprising Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, met virtually on Sunday to review global oil market conditions and the outlook.
The modest hike is part of a gradual rollback of the 1.65 million bpd voluntary cuts announced in April 2023 and comes amid “healthy market fundamentals” and low oil inventories.
Producers also reaffirmed their commitment to monitor market conditions and to keep flexibility to pause or reverse any changes, including the 2.2 million bpd voluntary reductions announced in November 2023. They previously approved a similar 137,000-bpd increase for November.
Analysts said the pause signals a pre-emptive attempt to keep the market balanced.
“This period is normally a period of lower demand, and delegates said the decision to pause from January reflects expectations of a seasonal slowdown,” Daniel Hynes, a senior commodity strategist at the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group, said in a note.
“We suspect they’re also aware that the market may struggle to take any additional barrels, particularly if disruptions to Russian supply end up being temporary,” Hynes added.
Meanwhile, the war between Russia and Ukraine re-escalated over the weekend, with both sides targeting each other’s energy infrastructure as winter nears, supporting prices amid supply concerns.
Moscow and Kyiv traded accusations Sunday over overnight airstrikes that killed at least two people in Ukraine’s southern Odesa region and damaged energy facilities on both sides.
Ukraine’s State Emergency Service said in a statement on Telegram that an overnight Russian drone attack caused a fire in a parking area filled with trucks, which was later extinguished.
In Zaporizhzhia, Governor Ivan Fedorov said nearly 58,000 people lost electricity following the attack.
Ukraine’s Air Force said its defenses downed 67 of 79 strike drones and two Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched by Russia overnight.
In Russia’s southern Krasnodar region, the local operational headquarters said on Telegram that an oil terminal and tanker in the port town of Tuapse were damaged after fragments from downed Ukrainian drones fell on the site.
“According to preliminary information, there are no injuries. Emergency services are working at the scene,” it said, adding that a nearby railway station building was also damaged. Zenith Bank Price Target Sets at N81 after Q3 Earnings
Energy
NMDPRA urges decentralisation in downstream market
The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has called on investors to explore the northern region of the country for investments in energy growth. It said the region presents huge opportunities essential for Nigeria’s energy growth and economic balance, considering its vast population and growing demand for energy. It therefore urged investors in the oil and gas industry to diversify operations and expand beyond the South-South and South-West regions of the country.
The Executive Director, Economic Regulation and Strategic Planning (ERSP) at NMDPRA, Prof. Zainab Gobir, made the appeal during the OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week 2025 which ended at the weekend in Lagos.
According to her, investors must rethink their business models and explore opportunities across all geopolitical zones to ensure equitable participation and sustainable energy access nationwide.
“The numbers exist across all regions; not just in the South. Population and available volumes in other regions matter and companies must model their operations around this reality to optimise margins and logistics,” he said.
Gobir disclosed that the Authority was leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI) and data analytics to enhance transparency, efficiency and investor engagement across Nigeria’s midstream and downstream oil and gas sectors.
“We are deploying AI for data collection and integrating it into our operations. We are taking feedback from Nigerians to identify bottlenecks and improve regulatory performance. Soon, consumers will be able to see pricing data in real time and choose the retail outlets they prefer,” she said.
According to her, the NMDPRA has automated key regulatory processes to improve operational efficiency, compliance monitoring and customer experience. She revealed that most of the Authority’s processes have been digitised and also activated customer platforms that follow all necessary licensing and qualification procedures.
“Through predictive and regression analysis, we can now understand the peculiarities of each oil and gas segment and respond proactively,” she revealed.
According to Gobir, the NMDPRA is developing a comprehensive data bank to give operators access to real-time market information and business intelligence.
“Our goal is to make data accessible. We are working on a platform where operators can track market trends and make informed business decisions.
“We have also automated our investment portal where prospective investors can register and join monthly roundtables to explore new opportunities in the sector.”
Gobir revealed that the Authority’s consumer experience platform has also been automated to allow the public to directly report market issues and engage with regulators.
Speaking on the impact of technology on regulation, Gobir described automation as inevitable, warning that operators who failed to adopt AI-driven systems risk being left behind.
“Automation is now a necessity. AI is not here to replace people but to enhance monitoring and improve accountability. It is a tool to help scale the market and drive sustainable growth,” she explained.
She said that Nigeria’s downstream market was both data-driven and population-driven, noting that taxation, logistics and market reach depend heavily on accurate demographic and operational data.
“Taxation is not only about the amount paid but also about the volume and reach of operations. Understanding population dynamics helps determine how far products like petrol and gas can go efficiently,” she added.
Gobir noted that the NMDPRA was evolving from a traditional regulator into a business enabler, and supporting small and medium-sized operators to scale up through technology and data access.
“We are helping MSMEs connect with customers. For instance, in the LPG sector, when operators provide their data, it allows consumers to locate the nearest LPG depot through our portal, (thus) increasing visibility, compliance, and business growth,” she said.
The Executive Director announced that NMDPRA was opening its systems to third-party data integration to foster inclusivity and improve market intelligence.
“We are now accepting third-party data to strengthen our automated system and ensure better market monitoring and inclusiveness,” Gobir said.
She reiterated the commitment of NMDPRA to promoting transparency, innovation, and regional equity in the downstream oil and gas industry as part of Nigeria’s broader push towards sustainable energy development.
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