Energy
CORAN summit: Fed. Govt commits to meeting domestic, international markets oil needs
• NMDPRA establishes most transparent regulatory framework
The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Heineken Lokpobiri, yesterday reiterated the federal government’s commitment to ensuring that every barrel of crude oil produced in the country contributes to meeting both domestic and international obligations.
Lokpobiri gave this assurance yesterday in Lagos at the opening ceremony of the Crude Oil Refinery-Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) 2025 summit with the theme: “Refinery – Key to Energy Security in Africa.” He was represented by his Technical Adviser, Ndah Adaba.
He said that as part of deliberate policy and broader strategy, the Naira for crude sale agreement will continue to be a major step to reduce cost of fuel production, mitigate the exposure to the fluctuating exchange rate and to generally support indigenous refining.
The minister said that through the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), the government has streamlined the licensing regime: from Licence to Establish to Construct and Operate — ensuring that genuine investors are supported, not hindered, by bureaucracy.
According to him, Beyond licensing, government has continued to consolidate on facilitating the access to crude oil supply through the effective implementation of the Domestic Crude Oil Supply Obligation (DSCO) because no nation can claim energy independence if it cannot refine its own crude.
Lokpobiri said that under the Renewed Hope Agenda of his President Bola Tinubu, indigenous refining has been identified as a critical pathway to energy independence, job creation, and industrial revitalisation.
“Today, we have seen indigenous success stories such as Dangote Refinery & Petrochemical, Waltersmith Petroman Refinery, Aradel Holdings, etc. which collectively demonstrate that Nigerians have both the capacity and the will to refine Nigeria’s crude oil locally.
“These projects are more than facilities; they are symbols of confidence in our policy direction, and we are committed to replicating them across all oil-producing states,” he added
He said that in the bid to extending refining obligation beyond the shores of this country, the West African Fuel Reference Market was launched to position Nigeria as a regional refining and product supply hub to other West African sub-region.
He added that with increased local refining capacity, Nigeria will not only meet its domestic demand but will also serve as a dependable supplier of refined products to neighbouring countries, thereby reducing the region’s reliance on distant refineries and maritime imports.
“This aligns with the African Union’s vision for energy integration and intra-African trade under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AFCFTA).
Lokpobiri assured that the government will ensure feedstock security for all licensed refiners and also deepen fiscal incentives to attract more investment. The minister said that the government will also foster collaboration among African nations for product exchange, logistics and shared energy infrastructure, maintain that the path to Africa’s energy security runs through the gates of our refineries and its interrelated institution.
He said that the federal government remains fully committed to supporting indigenous refiners, strengthening regulatory institutions, and creating an enabling environment for sustainable downstream growth.
“Let this CORAN Summit 2025 serve as a renewed call – to industry players, regulators, investors, and policymakers to unite in achieving an Africa that refines what it produces and powers its future through its own resources,” he said.
Also speaking at the event, the Authority Chief Executive, Nigeria Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), Farouk Ahmed, said the authority has created Nigeria’s most transparent and predictable petroleum regulatory framework.
Ahmed, represented by the South-West Regional Coordinator of NMDPRA, Ayo Cadoso, noted that the Authority has developed and gazetted 18 key regulations covering every phase of refinery development, from establishment through to operations.
“These regulations were not developed in isolation. They were co-created with industry stakeholders to ensure they are practical, bankable, and investor-friendly. This is what we mean by regulatory certainty — clarity of rules, fairness in enforcement, and confidence in outcomes,” he explained, adding that NMDPRA ensures Naira-denominated crude sales to shield refiners from foreign exchange volatility.
Besides, the Authority’s boss said the organisation is actively facilitating industrial growth.
“We are working across agencies and the entire value chain to guarantee crude oil supply to all licensed refineries through structured nomination and supply mechanisms.”
He added that the authority ensures efficient evacuation and logistics for refined products to reach markets while promoting transparent practices for fair competition.
He added that NMDPRA has accelerated approvals and permits under clear service-level agreements, providing technical and commercial support throughout project lifecycles.
“These initiatives form part of our optimisation framework, which converts regulatory stability into investment confidence and boosts domestic refining capacity,” he said.
Ahmed stressed that investor confidence depends on consistent policy and regulatory integrity.
“Investors must trust that rules will not change midstream and that their returns are secure within a fair market structure,” he noted.
He highlighted major reforms achieved in the past four years, including downstream liberalisation and updated transportation codes to support modern infrastructure.
“These are not mere policy statements — they are actionable goals under our 2025 Refining Acceleration Plan.
“Nigeria’s energy future will be defined by clarity, confidence, and collaboration.
“We are not just refining crude oil — we are refining our economic destiny,” he stated.
Ahmed said that when regulators act with integrity, investors trust the process, and consistent policies can enable Nigeria to power itself and the rest of Africa.
“At NMDPRA, our promise is simple — to regulate with clarity, facilitate with credibility, and lead with courage.
“Today, I speak not just as a regulator but as a firm believer in Nigeria’s capacity to redefine her future.
“For too long, we exported crude and imported refined products — a paradox that weakened our economy. But that story is changing,” Ahmed said.
He acknowledged the transformative impact of the Dangote Refinery and the growing number of licensed modular and conventional refineries.
“Nigeria stands at the threshold of a historic transformation — from dependency to dominance, from importer to net exporter of refined petroleum products,” he said.
According to him, two key pillars will drive this refining revolution — Regulatory Certainty and Investor Confidence.
Ahmed also commended the summit’s engagements, including the Women in Refining session and the keynote dinner on ‘Private Refining as a Catalyst for Energy Security.’
“We reaffirmed that refining is not just a business — it embodies energy sovereignty, economic resilience, and industrial strength,” he said.
Energy
Eight OPEC+ Members to Raise Oil Output by 137,000 bpd
The eight members of the OPEC+ group agreed to raise oil production by 137,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December, while pausing further increases from January to March 2026 due to seasonality, according to an OPEC statement on Sunday.
The group, comprising Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, met virtually on Sunday to review global oil market conditions and the outlook.
The 137,000-bpd output increase, representing a partial and gradual return of the 1.65 million bpd additional voluntary cuts announced in April 2023, was made in light of a steady global economic outlook and healthy market fundamentals, reflected in low oil inventories.
The countries also reaffirmed their commitment to closely monitor market developments and maintain full flexibility to pause or reverse the adjustments, including the 2.2 million bpd voluntary cuts announced in November 2023.
At their previous meeting on Oct. 5, the eight producers had decided to raise output by the same amount of 137,000 bpd for November.
The next meeting of the eight-member OPEC+ group is scheduled for Nov. 30. OPEC+ production cuts had reached 5.85 million bpd in March, equivalent to around 5.7% of global demand.
These cuts reflect cumulative measures announced by member countries since late 2022, including the 2 million bpd reduction in October 2022, the 1.65 million bpd voluntary cut by eight members in April 2023, and the 2.2 million bpd additional voluntary reduction in November 2023.
Member countries fully returned the 2.2 million bpd cut by the end of September and began a gradual rollback of the 1.65 million bpd cut in October. #8 OPEC+ Members to Raise Output by 137,000 bpd. #8 OPEC+ Members to Raise Oil Output by 137,000 bpd.
Energy
Oil Prices Increase as OPEC+ Seeks to Avoid Supply Glut
Oil prices increased on Monday after the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies’ members (OPEC+) moved to avoid creating a supply glut in the global commodity market.
The oil group decided to pause further production hikes for the next quarter, a step seen as an effort to prevent a potential supply glut as demand slows and tensions between Russia and Ukraine intensify.
Brent crude was trading at $65.21 per barrel, up around 1% from the previous close of $64.57. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) also increased by 1.1% to $61.37, compared to $60.69 in the prior session.
The eight members of the OPEC+ group agreed to raise oil production by 137,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December, while pausing further increases from January to March 2026 due to seasonality, according to OPEC’s statement on Sunday.
The group, comprising Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, met virtually on Sunday to review global oil market conditions and the outlook.
The modest hike is part of a gradual rollback of the 1.65 million bpd voluntary cuts announced in April 2023 and comes amid “healthy market fundamentals” and low oil inventories.
Producers also reaffirmed their commitment to monitor market conditions and to keep flexibility to pause or reverse any changes, including the 2.2 million bpd voluntary reductions announced in November 2023. They previously approved a similar 137,000-bpd increase for November.
Analysts said the pause signals a pre-emptive attempt to keep the market balanced.
“This period is normally a period of lower demand, and delegates said the decision to pause from January reflects expectations of a seasonal slowdown,” Daniel Hynes, a senior commodity strategist at the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group, said in a note.
“We suspect they’re also aware that the market may struggle to take any additional barrels, particularly if disruptions to Russian supply end up being temporary,” Hynes added.
Meanwhile, the war between Russia and Ukraine re-escalated over the weekend, with both sides targeting each other’s energy infrastructure as winter nears, supporting prices amid supply concerns.
Moscow and Kyiv traded accusations Sunday over overnight airstrikes that killed at least two people in Ukraine’s southern Odesa region and damaged energy facilities on both sides.
Ukraine’s State Emergency Service said in a statement on Telegram that an overnight Russian drone attack caused a fire in a parking area filled with trucks, which was later extinguished.
In Zaporizhzhia, Governor Ivan Fedorov said nearly 58,000 people lost electricity following the attack.
Ukraine’s Air Force said its defenses downed 67 of 79 strike drones and two Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched by Russia overnight.
In Russia’s southern Krasnodar region, the local operational headquarters said on Telegram that an oil terminal and tanker in the port town of Tuapse were damaged after fragments from downed Ukrainian drones fell on the site.
“According to preliminary information, there are no injuries. Emergency services are working at the scene,” it said, adding that a nearby railway station building was also damaged. Zenith Bank Price Target Sets at N81 after Q3 Earnings
Energy
NMDPRA urges decentralisation in downstream market
The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has called on investors to explore the northern region of the country for investments in energy growth. It said the region presents huge opportunities essential for Nigeria’s energy growth and economic balance, considering its vast population and growing demand for energy. It therefore urged investors in the oil and gas industry to diversify operations and expand beyond the South-South and South-West regions of the country.
The Executive Director, Economic Regulation and Strategic Planning (ERSP) at NMDPRA, Prof. Zainab Gobir, made the appeal during the OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week 2025 which ended at the weekend in Lagos.
According to her, investors must rethink their business models and explore opportunities across all geopolitical zones to ensure equitable participation and sustainable energy access nationwide.
“The numbers exist across all regions; not just in the South. Population and available volumes in other regions matter and companies must model their operations around this reality to optimise margins and logistics,” he said.
Gobir disclosed that the Authority was leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI) and data analytics to enhance transparency, efficiency and investor engagement across Nigeria’s midstream and downstream oil and gas sectors.
“We are deploying AI for data collection and integrating it into our operations. We are taking feedback from Nigerians to identify bottlenecks and improve regulatory performance. Soon, consumers will be able to see pricing data in real time and choose the retail outlets they prefer,” she said.
According to her, the NMDPRA has automated key regulatory processes to improve operational efficiency, compliance monitoring and customer experience. She revealed that most of the Authority’s processes have been digitised and also activated customer platforms that follow all necessary licensing and qualification procedures.
“Through predictive and regression analysis, we can now understand the peculiarities of each oil and gas segment and respond proactively,” she revealed.
According to Gobir, the NMDPRA is developing a comprehensive data bank to give operators access to real-time market information and business intelligence.
“Our goal is to make data accessible. We are working on a platform where operators can track market trends and make informed business decisions.
“We have also automated our investment portal where prospective investors can register and join monthly roundtables to explore new opportunities in the sector.”
Gobir revealed that the Authority’s consumer experience platform has also been automated to allow the public to directly report market issues and engage with regulators.
Speaking on the impact of technology on regulation, Gobir described automation as inevitable, warning that operators who failed to adopt AI-driven systems risk being left behind.
“Automation is now a necessity. AI is not here to replace people but to enhance monitoring and improve accountability. It is a tool to help scale the market and drive sustainable growth,” she explained.
She said that Nigeria’s downstream market was both data-driven and population-driven, noting that taxation, logistics and market reach depend heavily on accurate demographic and operational data.
“Taxation is not only about the amount paid but also about the volume and reach of operations. Understanding population dynamics helps determine how far products like petrol and gas can go efficiently,” she added.
Gobir noted that the NMDPRA was evolving from a traditional regulator into a business enabler, and supporting small and medium-sized operators to scale up through technology and data access.
“We are helping MSMEs connect with customers. For instance, in the LPG sector, when operators provide their data, it allows consumers to locate the nearest LPG depot through our portal, (thus) increasing visibility, compliance, and business growth,” she said.
The Executive Director announced that NMDPRA was opening its systems to third-party data integration to foster inclusivity and improve market intelligence.
“We are now accepting third-party data to strengthen our automated system and ensure better market monitoring and inclusiveness,” Gobir said.
She reiterated the commitment of NMDPRA to promoting transparency, innovation, and regional equity in the downstream oil and gas industry as part of Nigeria’s broader push towards sustainable energy development.
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