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Fuel scarcity, price hike looms as Dangote Refinery, PENGASSAN face-off deepens

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• PENGASSAN directs member to cut off crude, gas supply
• Directive is economic sabotage, says Dr. Yusuf of CPPE
• You lack legal right to intervene in supply contracts, says Refinery

After a celebrated feat of eradication of fuel scarcity in the country in the last two years, the queues may be back anytime soon except the federal government makes a quick intervention. Yesterday, the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) ordered its seven branches to cut off crude oil and gas supplies to the $20 billion, 650,000 barrels per day Dangote Refinery and Petrochemical facility located in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.
PENGASSAN’s directive was in response to the Dangote Refinery’s sacking of about 800 Nigerian workers. While the Refinery’s management explained the sack exercise as “part of an ongoing reorganisation to protect the facility from repeated acts of sabotage that had raised safety concerns and hampered operations,” the organized labour said it is an “act of anti-labour practices.”
In a letter dated September 26 and signed by its General Secretary, Lumumba Okugbawa, the union accused the refinery’s management of sacking its members in retaliation for exercising their constitutional right to join the union.
In a memo signed by the General Secretary of PENGASSAN, Comrade Lumumba Okugbawa, and issued to Branch chairmen in TotalEnergies, Renaissances, Chevron, Shell Nigeria Gas, Oando and Seplat Producing Nigeria Unlimited, the union directed the immediate shutdown of all valves and suspension of all crude loading operations to the Dangote Refinery facility.
“As you are aware, the Management of Dangote Petroleum Refinery has disengaged our members in reaction to the exercise of their constitutional right to be unionised.
“They have gone further on a mission of misinformation and propaganda to justify this illegitimacy rather than engaging meaningfully with us to right the wrong.
“Consequent to these, you are hereby directed to cut off gas supply to NGIC effective immediately. All crude oil supply valves to the Refinery should be shut. The loading operation for the vessel headed there should be halted immediately,” the directive read.
The union further mandated the NGIC Chairman to ensure strict compliance with the order and told all branch chairmen to give regular updates on the action taken.
“NGIC Chairman, ensure that gas supply to the Refinery is cut off effective immediately. All chairmen on this summons are to report promptly the progress of the directive. Kindly accept the assurances of our highest esteem. Thank you,” the statement read. The union also threatened to picket the refinery if the situation was not addressed.
Dangote Refinery however warned that the directive by PENGASSAN to cut crude oil and gas supplies to the refinery could plunge Nigerians into fresh rounds of fuel scarcity while inflicting huge revenue losses on the government.
In a statement released by the firm yesterday, the refinery described the directive as “criminal, reckless and an act of economic sabotage” that, if enforced, would disrupt the production and nationwide supply of critical petroleum products, including petrol, diesel, aviation fuel, kerosene, and cooking gas.
The company stressed that these products are indispensable to daily life and the economy, warning that Nigerians at every level, from households to businesses and industries would bear the brunt of shortages. It noted that a sudden disruption in supply will translate into insufferable hardship for millions of Nigerians.
“The products that would be disrupted and stopped include but are not limited to aviation fuel, petrol, kerosene, diesel and cooking gas – all products that are used and required by all stripes of Nigerians and persons living in Nigeria, whether high and mighty or lowly and ordinary. In what circumstance would it be justified for PENGASSAN to so disrupt and introduce insufferable hardship into the living conditions of Nigerians? None that we can see.
“The follow up question is, in whose interest and on whose behalf is PENGASSAN directing and intending to inflict such anarchic and criminal disruption upon the Nigerian society and persons living in Nigeria? Most certainly, not in the interest of the Nigerian State and/or the Nigerian public and citizens,” the company said.
Beyond the immediate hardship on citizens, Dangote Refinery warned that the government’s revenue would also be dented, given the refinery’s status as one of the country’s largest taxpayers and contributors to both federal and state coffers. The company said any pause in operations would stall contributions to the national purse and undermine investor confidence in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.
The statement noted, “This is also economic sabotage against the Nigerian State at multiple levels. Dangote Refinery is the only refinery of its type in Africa and ordinarily should be the pride of all Nigerians as well as the governments of Nigeria. It should ordinarily have special protection and status and indeed qualifies as a strategic national asset”.
It added that an irreparable injury to the Dangote Refinery such as PENGASSAN has directed constitutes a national embarrassment to the country and a disincentive to external investors who ordinarily would have been encouraged by the success of Dangote Refinery to contemplate investing in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector or generally.
“PENGASSAN may also not be aware that Dangote Refinery is one of the largest contributors to the revenue purse of the Nigerian governments – both Federal and sub-nationals. That contribution is currently threatened by PENGASSAN and would of course be paused if and as soon as and for as long as the PENGASSAN directive is implemented by its branches,” it noted.
The statement also noted that PENGASSAN had no legal authority to interfere in supply contracts between the refinery and its vendors, insisting that the action undermined the rule of law.
“Absolutely no law gives PENGASSAN the right to direct its branches to “cut off” gas and crude oil supplies to Dangote Refinery at all. There is also no law in our statute books that would support or enable the PENGASSAN branches having to “cut off” gas and crude oil supplies to Dangote Refinery at all. Besides, it constitutes a criminal conduct for PENGASSAN or its members to disrupt and/or interfere howsoever in the contract between Dangote Refinery and its various vendors for the supply of gas and crude oil to the Refinery. Those supply contracts were not entered into with PENGASSAN; they were entered into by Dangote Refinery with third party vendors and suppliers and PENGASSAN has no right whatsoever to disrupt and/or interfere with the performance of those contracts.”
Calling on the Federal Government and security agencies to act swiftly, the refinery urged Nigerians to take note of the “unquantifiable and irredeemable hardship which PENGASSAN wishes to inflict on all of us” if not checked, warning that fuel queues, energy shortages and price hikes could quickly resurface.
It urged PENGASSAN to submit to amicable and legal resolution and not resort to economic sabotage and mob action that could introduce mayhem and chaos and easily translate into anarchy.
Stakeholders are worried over the development, warning of its dire consequences on the country’s economy. For instance, Dangote Refinery, it is believed, has been the stabilizing factor in premium motor spirit (PMS) or petrol supply and steady availability in the country.
Presently, on daily basis, the refinery produces lighter products of 104 million litres- 57 million litres of petrol; 20 million litres of jet fuel and 27 million litres of diesel. 44 per cent of these volume can meet the entire requirements of Nigeria while 56 per cent of the production are exported. This production capacity is sufficient to meet 100 per cent of Nigeria’s local demand for refined petroleum products. The facility, according to Aliko Dangote, had exported 1.1 litres of petrol in the last three months. Nigeria’s daily petrol consumption is put at between 46 million litres and 50 million litres.
But notwithstanding the refinery’s capacity to meet local demands, Nigeria’s fuel import reliance rose to 71 per cent of total petrol consumed domestically in the month of May and June, 2025. The remaining 28.62 per cent was sourced from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery. By implication, marketers, who should access products locally are instead spending foreign exchange to import refined petroleum products.
This was contained in data released by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) in its July report presented to Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC). NMDPRA is the downstream regulator of the oil sector.
The report further gave a breakdown which indicated that in the period, the petrol consumed amounted to total of 1.478billion litres. Of this total, only 455,188,512 litres was sourced from local refineries, leaving 1.023,128,233 to importation. The 1.478 billion litres of petrol consumed in June was a 16.42 per cent decrease from 1.768 billion litres supplied in May.
The report also indicated that the average daily petrol supply for the month was 49.277 million litres, of which 34.104 million litres was imported and 15.172 million sourced from local refineries.
The total Automotive Gas Oil (diesel) consumed for the month was 432,180, 605 litres. This is 1.73 percent higher than 424,829, 199 consumed in the month of May. Of the total 432,180, 605 litres consumed in June, 378,130,852 was imported while 58,049,753 was from local refineries. Similarly, the average daily supply was 14,406,020 litres, of which 12,604,372 was imported and 1,801, 658 was locally sourced.
But stakeholders still maintained that notwithstanding these figures, PENGASSAN’s directive to shut gas and crude supply to Dangote refinery would still have a telling effect on the economy and by extension motorists. Besides, they cautioned that the unions may be over reaching with their actions.
The Chief Executive Officer, Center for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Dr. Muda Yusuf, said the idea of going to cut off gas supply, coal supply to Dangote is a disproportionate response to this particular development.
“We are talking here about issues of energy security. We are also talking about what exactly is in consonance with labour laws. If there are issues with an employer, I think there are processes to go about it. There are processes of resolving disputes. You have industrial courts, you have other processes. This particular step, for me, is going to the extreme.
“I don’t think that is the way to go. In all of these issues, you never can tell what the motive is because most of these people, including the unions, these are people who have been major beneficiaries of the importation regime. The coming into the industry of Dangote Refinery normally has created a lot of disruption and those who are benefiting from the status quo, including even some of these unions, are not likely to be happy with it.
“But what is more important in all of this is to ensure that due process is followed even by the unions. I don’t think the next thing to do is to go and be shutting gas pipeline or crude supply. This will also impact on contractual obligations between Dangote and the suppliers of these inputs. I don’t think they (PENGASSAN) need to go as far as that. I think there are better ways of resolving these disputes without creating a energy crisis for the country,” Dr. Yusuf said.
Although he agreed the suppliers can claim force majeure in the event that Dangote decides to take action against them for not supplying him the raw materials as agreed, Yusuf however said the Unions may have even committed an act of illegality.
“They may have committed an act of illegality by going as far as that. It is a disproportionate response from the union to Dangote. I’m not saying they cannot engage in a dispute but to go as far as that is disproportionate. It’s going to the extreme. Because if the company gets force majeure, losses must have been suffered on both sides. This is clearly a disruption inflicted by the union deliberately. So I’m not even sure whether that can qualify as force majeure. It can qualify as sabotage. That is what it’s going to look like,” Yusuf warned, adding that “there is need to interrogate the legality of even what they are doing because there are rules guiding labour actions. There are rules guiding the way you can also express your grievances, even as a union. I’m not sure that this particular step is covered in terms of what is legally permissible. You know, on that, you know, I doubt it and if it is found to be illegal, then there have to be consequences. We need to send a signal that nobody is above the law. I mean, you have the Ministry of Labour, you have the industrial courts. That is why they are there to resolve labour disputes. Of course, there is a major risk of disruption to petrol and fuel supply to the country because Dangote refinery is a major supplier of petrol and fuel. It’s a major supplier; it will disrupt the flow of supply of petrol and fuel and that will not be good for the country,” Dr. Yusuf, an economist, concluded.
Meanwhile, Dangote Refinery late yesterday has resumed which it announced its suspension on Friday.
The Chief Branding and Communications Officer, Dangote Group, Tony Chiejina, in a message to The Trust News.com, said the resumption followed the intervention of the Naira for Crude Technical Committee chairman.
The resumption of the sales in naira was contained in an email to its customers sighted by The Trust News.com yesterday night. The notice, signed by the Group Commercial Operations of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals, was titled ‘Resumption of DPRP PMS Naira Sales”, read: “Following the intervention of the Naira for Crude Technical Committee chairman, we are pleased to inform you of the resumption of the supply of PMS sales in naira commencing immediately. You may kindly proceed to place your orders in naira for both self collection and free delivery of PMS to the earlier advised locations across the country.”

Energy

Nigeria’s oil, gas local content reach 61% in 15 years

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The Executive Secretary, Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB), Felix Ogbe, an engineer, yesterday revealed that in the last 15 years, local participation in the country’s oil and gas sector recorded a significant rise from less than five per cent to 61 per cent.

He made this known yesterday while delivering his speech at the 25th Edition of the Nigeria Oil and Gas Energy Week currently ongoing in Abuja. He spoke on the theme: “Shaping the Next Phase of Local Content Growth.”

The NCDMB boss attributed the increase to the signing of the NOGICD Act of 2010, describing it as accounting for the success.

 

To sustain this increase, Ogbe said, the next phase must focus on manufacturing, competence and global competitiveness, if the country is to achieve its target of becoming a $1 trillion economy.
“Over the last 15 years, Nigeria’s local content journey has become a remarkable success story,” Ogbe declared, adding that, “Through the implementation of the NOGICD Act of 2010, we have transformed local participation in the oil and gas industry from marginal levels of less than five per cent to 61 per cent a situation where Nigerians now own assets, provide services, execute projects, and contribute significantly across the oil and gas value chain.”

Although he expressed satisfaction with the feat, Ogbe nonetheless said the next phase of the board’s strategy is to move beyond mere compliance metrics toward deep-rooted industrialisation and global competitiveness.
“These achievements deserve to be celebrated. However, they also compel us to ask a fundamental question: What comes next? The next phase of local content growth must go beyond participation and compliance. It must focus on capacity expansion, industrialization, manufacturing, sustainability and global competitiveness,” the NCDMB boss said.

 

To ensure a sustenance of this achievement and further upscaling, he disclosed that the NCDMB, following in line with Presidential Directives, has partnered with NIPEX, NUPRC, NMDPRA, NNPC, and the Oil Producers Trade Section (OPTS) to create a harmonised ranking system.

To this end, the Board will commence modification of its various certification portals in readiness for the joint industry capacity audits of in-country manufacturers and service providers operating within the oil and gas industry.

The audit, he added, will begin in the third quarter 2026.
“The outcome of the in-country capacity audit will provide a detailed understanding of existing capabilities, eliminate intermediaries, improve contracting cycle timelines, and ensure direct patronage of established service providers for business sustainability and growth.
“The findings from the exercise will also enable the Board and industry stakeholders to make informed decisions regarding investment priorities, technology partnerships, financing support, and policy interventions,” Ogbe added.

 

The Board, he revealed, also maintained a zero tolerance against operators failing to remit their statutory fees into the Nigerian Content Development Fund (NCDF)- a fund meant for building domestic capability. To ensure full compliance, possessing an NCDF Compliance Certificate will now be major criteria for doing business.

 

“It is therefore unacceptable for any company to withhold, delay, or fail to remit its statutory contributions to the Nigerian Content Development Fund (NCDF). The Board will continue to strengthen its compliance and enforcement mechanisms and will not hesitate to invoke all available regulatory measures to ensure compliance, because possession of a valid NCDF Compliance Certificate is increasingly becoming an important requirement for participation in industry opportunities and regulatory engagements,” Ogbe added.

 

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Dangote Refinery slashes fuel prices, as refinery absorbed global oil price surge

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  • Reduces PMS by N200/l in one month

 

Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals has announced another reduction in the ex-depot price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol. The latest reduction marks its fourth price cut within a month as the company said it continues to pass lower production costs to consumers despite still processing crude oil purchased at significantly higher international prices.

The latest N50 per litre reduction brings the cumulative decrease in the refinery’s PMS ex depot price to N200 per litre since May 30, 2026, reducing the gantry price to N1, 075. Over the same period, the refinery has reduced the ex-depot price of Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) by N300 per litre and Jet A1 aviation fuel by N520 per litre.

The company said the successive reductions demonstrate its commitment to ensuring Nigerians benefit from favourable market developments while maintaining the long-term sustainability of domestic refining operations.

In a statement issued yesterday, the refinery explained that petroleum product pricing cannot mirror daily movements in international crude oil markets because crude is purchased weeks, and sometimes months, before it is processed.

According to the refinery, the petroleum products currently being supplied to the market are being produced from crude inventories acquired during periods of substantially higher prices.

It disclosed that the average landed cost of crude processed stood at approximately $124.80 per barrel in May and $95.25 per barrel in June, compared with the current international benchmark of about $71.01 per barrel.

The refinery also clarified that its crude procurement costs are not based solely on the headline ICE Brent benchmark commonly quoted in the media.

Rather, crude is purchased on a Dated Brent basis together with applicable market premiums, freight and logistics costs, resulting in actual feedstock costs that differ materially from benchmark prices.

Despite the sharp increase in crude acquisition costs during the period, Dangote Refinery said it deliberately refrained from transferring the full impact to consumers, choosing instead to absorb a significant portion of the additional costs in order to support market stability and cushion Nigerians from the volatility in global energy markets.

The company noted that this pricing approach has helped to keep petroleum product prices in Nigeria below those prevailing in neighbouring countries, even after accounting for applicable taxes. It added that as lower priced crude cargoes progressively enter its production cycle, the refinery has begun systematically passing the benefits to the market through phased price reductions.

“Today’s N50 per litre reduction is the fourth price cut in one month, bringing cumulative reductions to above N200 per litre on PMS. This approach ensures that pricing decisions are anchored on actual production economics and inventory costs rather than short term fluctuations in international oil markets.

“Nigeria today benefits from the stabilising role of domestic refining capacity. The Dangote Petroleum Refinery currently supplies volumes sufficient to meet national demand, helping to strengthen energy security, eliminate dependence on imports, conserve foreign exchange and provide greater price stability for consumers and businesses,” the Refinery management said in the statement.

The company expressed confidence that if international crude prices remain favourable and lower cost feedstock continues to replace higher priced inventories, Nigerians should expect further moderation in petroleum product prices.

Dangote Petroleum Refinery reiterated its commitment to supplying high quality, internationally certified petroleum products at competitive prices while supporting Nigeria’s economic growth and the long-term development of the country’s downstream petroleum sector.

 

 

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Energy

Pressure mounts on marketers over high petrol pump price

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· PETROAN, IPMAN divided over FCCPC, minister’s compliance order

 

Pressure continues to mount on oil marketers across the country to comply with provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021 that petrol prices must be cost-reflective of prevailing market forces.

Yesterday, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), joined the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) in warning oil marketers against “profiteering and arbitrary increases in the pump prices of petroleum products.”

The NMDPRA’s warning comes just three days after the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Heineken Lokpobiri, at the 2026 NMDPRA General Counsel and Legal Advisers Forum, directed the Authority to intensify surveillance across the downstream sector and ensure that Nigerians benefit from the recent fall in global crude oil prices.

But the fuel marketers responded swiftly to these directives, warning that they will shut down filling stations nationwide if the Federal Government attempts to impose price controls on petrol in the country’s deregulated downstream petroleum sector.

Yet, another body, the Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN), aligns with the ministerial directive, insisting that the Minister has the authority to intervene in the interest of consumers. The body however added a caveat that any decision should be taken after consultations with stakeholders.

PETROAN therefore called on the Minister of Petroleum Resources to convene an emergency meeting involving regulators, refiners and marketers to address the pricing concerns and arrive at solutions acceptable to all parties.

The NMDPRA, in a signed statement by its Director, Corporate Affairs, Ondaje Ijagwu, expressed concern over the outcome of its findings from surveillance of the downstream petroleum market suggesting undue exploitation of consumers.

The regulator, in a statement issued yesterday by it’s the Authority’s Head of Media and Public Relations, George Ene-Ita, said it had commenced monitoring activities at depots and retail outlets across the country and would not hesitate to sanction marketers found engaging in price gouging.

The statement, titled: ‘Pump Prices of Petroleum Products Must Be Cost Reflective’, noted that the authority had taken cognisance of the downward movement in international crude prices and was committed to ensuring that the benefits of market realities are reflected in domestic petroleum product prices.

“The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority notes the global drop in crude oil prices and wishes to assure the Nigerian public that pump prices of petroleum products must be cost-reflective, in accordance with the Petroleum Industry Act (2021).

“Oil Marketing Companies have been cautioned against price gouging and profiteering. Depots and retail outlets are being monitored, and regulatory sanctions will be applied where applicable.

“The Authority is working with security agencies and other critical stakeholders, including the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission, to guarantee consumer protection.

“NMDPRA reassures the public of its commitment to monitoring the midstream and downstream sector and ensuring adequate and reliable supply of petroleum products nationwide,” the statement read.

Earlier in the week, Lokpobiri had directed the NMDPRA to strengthen its oversight functions and ensure that no operator exploits Nigerians through unjustifiable pricing practices.

In issuing the directive, the minister said the deregulation of the downstream petroleum sector was not intended to create opportunities for excessive profiteering but rather to encourage competition, efficiency and fair pricing.

Lokpobiri had stressed that while government would not fix prices since the downstream sector has been deregulated, nonetheless, he argued, market operators must act responsibly and ensure that price adjustments accurately reflect changes in international oil prices and foreign exchange conditions.

“Pricing is also another issue, and I think that is one issue that I want this forum to deal with today. As part of the requirements of deregulation, prices have to be determined by market forces. When an NMDPRA has a unique responsibility, compounded by the PIA, to ensure not only that products are available but also that unnecessary profiteering is stopped. Yes, the market is definitely deregulated, but that doesn’t limit deregulation. I listen to discussions on television every day.

“They are calling me out. Mr. Lokpobiri should come and speak up. But I am not engaged in any press war with anybody. What is important is the reality of the situation in the industry. Primarily, market forces have to determine prices.

“But we also have a responsibility as a government all over the world to ensure that there is no profiteering. The PIA specifically vested government institutions, including the NMDPRA,” he said at the Abuja Forum on Monday.

The National Publicity Secretary, Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), Chinedu Ukadike, while reacting to the Minister’s comments at the Forum, warned that enforcing price controls in a deregulated market would contradict the provisions of the PIA and discourage investment in the sector.

According to Ukadike, allegations that marketers were profiteering was false, insisting that many operators were instead recording heavy losses due to repeated reductions in depot prices, particularly by the Dangote Refinery. He threatened that should the government try to arm twist marketers, then they may be left with no choice other than to shut down their retail outlets.

“If the government tries to enforce price control, we will shut down our filling stations nationwide. You cannot operate a deregulated market and at the same time dictate the price marketers should sell their products without considering the cost of purchase,” he said.

The IPMAN spokesman argued that marketers often buy fuel at higher prices only for depot prices to fall before they can sell, leaving them with losses while still servicing bank loans used to finance purchases.

According to him, the solution to high petrol prices is not government intervention in pricing but increased competition through improved local refining capacity and expanded fuel importation.

He urged the Federal Government to focus on reviving domestic refineries and creating an environment that encourages competition, which he said would naturally drive down fuel prices.

The Commission said the measure has become necessary after it observed that in spite of a downward review of the gantry prices of petrol by domestic refiners, marketers, depot owners, and retail outlet operators only reflected a negligible price reduction which are not commensurate with the steep fall in crude prices in the global market.

The positions by Lokpobiri, NMDPRA and FCCPC may be right. This is because, following a ceasefire agreement between U.S. and Iran two weeks ago and the reopening of the Straits of Hormuz, crude oil prices have been on a steady decline, falling to $71.99 per barrel (Brent crude) and $69.23 per barrel (WTI) yesterday- a sharp drop from the peak of $120 per barrel in April, returning to the prices in the pre- US-Iran war era in February.

Recall that the global spike in crude prices led to local refiners and marketers raising pump prices swiftly across the country, with petrol price climbing to between N1,350 to N1,500 and diesel selling N2,000 as hostilities intensified in the gulf between April and May. In February, petrol averaged between N800 and N900 per litre at the retail pumps. Presently, notwithstanding the global price fall of crude oil, petrol is still sold at average of N1,200 while some local refiners fixed between N1,025 and N1,075 as their gantry prices.

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