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OTL: $450b needed globally to guarantee stable energy supply

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• Downstream stabilising after subsidy removal, says Lokpobiri

The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, yesterday said a $540 billion annual investment in oil and gas recovery and associated infrastructure is required globally to guarantee stable energy supply. He based his submission on the projections of a United Nations’ (UN) report. The Minister spoke yesterday at the opening ceremony of the 19th OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week 2025 which began in Lagos. It has as its theme: “Energy Sustainability: Growth Beyond Boundaries & Competition.”
According to him, the recent report by the UN underscores the urgent need for renewed global investment in the oil and gas industry to meet growing global population and energy demands.
The minister also made it known that Nigeria’s downstream sector is gradually stabilising following the removal of fuel subsidy and the liberalisation of petroleum product pricing- a development is described as a “bold and necessary step to attract private sector investment.”
“Subsidy was not sustainable. It discouraged private investment and placed a heavy financial burden on the government. What we are seeing now is a more competitive environment that encourages efficiency, accessibility and availability of petroleum products,” he explained.
In similar vein, the Chairman of the Advisory Board of OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week, Otunba Adetunji Oyebanji, in his opening speech, explained that while the removal of fuel subsidies and market liberalisation in the downstream sector may have presented short-term difficulties, they also mark necessary steps toward building a competitive, efficient and innovation-driven sector. He noted the ongoing progress in logistics optimisation, storage efficiency and digital trading platforms as signs of renewal within the industry.
“The downstream market is evolving amid both turbulence and transformation. Success will depend on our ability to combine innovation with policy stability and operational efficiency,” he said, even as he called for renewed collaboration, policy consistency and innovation to drive Africa’s energy sustainability and competitiveness in a rapidly changing global landscape.
Oyebanji said the conference’s theme underscores the need for Africa and Nigeria to look beyond conventional limits and create an energy future anchored on integration, inclusiveness, and responsible growth.
To this end, Lokpobiri therefore assured that as the world rethinks its approach to energy transition and returning focus to hydrocarbon development as a means of ensuring global energy security, the federal government, he said, is committed to deepening investment in the country’s oil and gas sector.
“The world has come to realise that energy transition cannot happen in a vacuum. Even as we pursue cleaner sources, the global economy still runs on oil and gas. Without substantial investment in these resources, there will be no financial capacities to fund the energy mix we all desire,” Lokpobiri stated.
He noted that while discussions around climate change and net-zero commitments remain important, the realities of global energy consumption and population growth have made it clear that hydrocarbons will continue to play a central role in the foreseeable future.
“Africa, with its population now exceeding 1.4 billion people, cannot afford to ignore investment in oil and gas. Expanding exploration, production and refining capacity is crucial not only for self-sufficiency but also for economic stability across the continent,” he said.
Lokpobiri commended President Bola Tinubu for taking decisive policy actions that have repositioned the downstream sector for long-term growth.
“It takes a courageous leader to make decisions that may be unpopular today but are necessary for the country’s future stability. What we are experiencing now is the outcome of such bold leadership,” he said.
He added that ongoing reforms in the oil and gas industry are geared toward ensuring energy security, encouraging domestic refining and fostering private sector participation across the value chain.
The minister also called on stakeholders in the downstream sector to align with the government’s policy direction and contribute to building a more sustainable and diversified energy future.
“We are no longer just talking about transition; we are talking about an energy mix that guarantees energy security for Africa. Every stakeholder must align with this vision to create the Africa we want,” Lokpobiri emphasised.
According to Oyebanji, the OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week remains a bridge between policy and practice, bringing together regulators, operators, investors and innovators to shape the future of Africa’s downstream energy industry.
“Energy sustainability is not merely about preserving resources; it is about ensuring that our growth today does not compromise the prosperity of tomorrow. We must build an industry that is competitive, responsible, and adaptable to a rapidly changing global environment,” he admonished.
Oyebanji, a former Chairman of the Major Energy Marketers Association of Nigeria (MEMAN), observed that the global energy sector is undergoing major shifts, driven by geopolitical tensions, supply uncertainties and the accelerating march towards energy transition.
He noted that conflicts in Eastern Europe and the Middle East have kept oil markets tight, while the global push toward cleaner fuels and renewables is reshaping investment priorities.
For Africa, he further said, these trends present both challenges and opportunities, insisting that the continent, richly endowed with natural resources and human capital, must move beyond being just a supplier of raw hydrocarbons to becoming a hub for innovation, efficiency and value addition.
“Africa must position itself not just as a source of energy, but as a source of innovation. Our growth must be sustainable, inclusive and borderless,” he echoed.
Oyenabji emphasised that Nigeria remains central to Africa’s energy transformation. The deregulation of the downstream petroleum sector, renewed focus on gas commercialisation and expanding infrastructure, he said, have laid a foundation for long-term growth.
However, he cautioned that sustained progress depends on policy stability, regulatory transparency, and institutional consistency. Investors, he noted, thrive on predictability, and long-term capital inflows which only comes with confidence in the regulatory environment.
Oyebanji called for a new mindset where collaboration becomes the new competition, urging industry players to balance innovation with inclusiveness and competition with cooperation.
“Our capacity to grow beyond boundaries depends not only on how hard we compete but on how well we cooperate,” he said.
He added that the future of energy lies in integration — bridging hydrocarbons, renewables, and alternative energy sources — to create a system that promotes both growth and environmental responsibility.
Oyebanji noted that over the past 19 years, OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week has evolved into the continent’s leading platform for policy dialogue, business networking, and innovation in the downstream value chain.
He urged stakeholders to seize the moment to define Africa’s path toward energy sustainability through infrastructure investment, capacity building and transparent governance. “We must invest in pipelines, depots, data systems and digital tools. We must build capacity through research and innovation. Above all, we must hold ourselves accountable to the highest standards of transparency and environmental responsibility,” he said.
The OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week, now in its 19th edition, serves as a premier platform for policy dialogue, industry networking, and investment promotion across Africa’s downstream petroleum value chain.

Energy

Fed govt. rolls out one million CNG vehicles, intensifies CNG as cheaper transport alternative

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‎‎By Oluwayanmife  Lucas

‎The Federal Government has pledged to intensify efforts to promote compressed natural gas (CNG) as a cheaper alternative fuel for transportation, with a renewed focus on accelerating the rollout of one million CNG-powered vehicles across the country.

‎‎To this end, the Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, has tasked the leadership of the Presidential Initiative on Compressed Natural Gas and Electric Vehicles (Pi-CNG & EV) and the Decade of Gas (DoGas) Secretariat to focus on critical interventions, step up investments, expand CNG infrastructure and strengthen programmes to drive nationwide adoption.
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Ekpo gave the directive over the weekend in Abuja while receiving progress updates from the two bodies, stressing the need to translate the Federal Government’s Auto CNG policy into tangible benefits for Nigerians in form of cheaper transport fares.

‎‎He said the drive had become imperative following the removal of petrol subsidy and the need to provide Nigerians with a more affordable and environmentally friendly alternative for transportation, in line with the aspirations of President Bola Tinubu.

‎‎The Minister noted that Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources presented an opportunity to lower transportation costs, deepen domestic gas utilisation and stimulate economic growth. He emphasised the need for sustained investments in refuelling infrastructure, vehicle conversions and other critical components required to accelerate CNG adoption.

‎‎Ekpo commended the leadership of Pi-CNG & EV for the progress recorded under its current management and assured the initiative of the government’s continued support in achieving its objectives, including the expansion of CNG use across the country.
‎‎He also highlighted the importance of growing domestic gas consumption, noting that supply had risen above two billion cubic feet per day for the first time in Nigeria history.
‎‎“Nigeria is a gas nation with a gas reserves index of over 80 years, and that is why we are talking about the Decade(s) of Gas.

‎‎“It is important that we listen to the directive of Mr. President to make transportation cheaper via CNG. We will continue to give you all the backing, to provide the necessary assistance to make sure we drive this project to a logical conclusion,” he said.

‎‎In his remarks, the Executive Chairman/CEO of Pi-CNG & EV, Ismaeel Ahmed, said the initiative would step up investments and programmes to expand CNG infrastructure and increase vehicle conversions nationwide and lead to chepaer ttansport fares for millions of Nigerians.

‎‎Ahmed explained that the joint industry market study completed by the decade of gas secretariat provides a framework for accelerating rollout, tracking progress, identifying gaps and strengthening implementation efforts to accelerate the adoption of CNG as a transportation fuel.

‎‎Similarly, the Coordinator of the Decade of Gas Secretariat, Mr. Ed Ubong, described CNG as a key component of Nigeria’s energy transition and assured continued support for the presidential initiative and efforts to increase domestic and export gas utilisation across the country for the benefits of Nigerians as well as investors.

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NNPC profit after tax soars 54.5% to N431b in August

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· Revenue hits N3.74tr

By Oluwayanmife Lucas

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has announced a N431 billion Profit After Tax (PAT) for the month of August 2026. The figure shows a rise of 54.5 per cent from the N279 billion recorded in the previous month.

This was contained in the Company’s monthly operations and financial report for the month of August 2026.

Revenue for the period, according to the report, stood at N3.74 trillion as against N3.09 trillion recorded in the previous month.

The Company also recorded a 19.89 per cent increase in cumulative statutory payments from N7.91trillion for January to July to N9.49 trillion for January to August.

The report also put the average crude oil and gas production figures for the period at 1.69 million barrels per day and 7,680 million standard cubic feet per day, respectively.

On the state of infrastructure, there was 100per cent availability of upstream pipelines, while the OB3 and AKK Gas Pipelines stood at 100 per cent and 95 per cent completion.

 

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Dangote Refinery posts $22.5b revenue, records $4.7b profit

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· Cash reserves hit $6.7b

By Oluwayanmife  Lucas

Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals has recorded a remarkable turnaround in its financial performance, posting $22.5 billion in revenue and $4.7 billion in net profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, compared with a loss of $117.2 million in the corresponding period of 2025, as the African industrial giant consolidates its transition into a major profit-generating industrial enterprise.

The unaudited financial results, released in Lagos yesterday, reveal that revenue surged by 144 per cent from $9.2 billion in the first nine months of 2025, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) jumped nearly nine fold to $5.5 billion, reflecting higher refining throughput, improved operational reliability and stronger refining margins.

The performance represents a significant financial milestone for the 700,000 barrels per day refinery, which is currently undertaking a landmark Initial Public Offering (IPO) aimed at broadening African ownership of the industrial complex. The most striking development is the refinery’s transformation from a loss-making operation into a highly profitable enterprise, accompanied by a substantial strengthening of its balance sheet.

According to the results, net income rose to $4.73 billion from a loss of $117.2 million a year earlier, while EBITDA margin expanded to 24.56 per cent from 6.83 per cent, reflecting a marked improvement in the economics of its refining operations. Operating cash flow also increased more than tenfold to $3.68 billion, compared with $364.7 million in the corresponding period of 2025, demonstrating the refinery’s growing capacity to generate cash from its core business. The company’s cash balances climbed to $6.69 billion from $809.5 million, while its balance sheet moved from a net debt position of $1.73 billion in September 2025 to net cash of $650.8 million by September 2026. The transition to a net cash position is particularly significant, indicating that the refinery’s cash holdings now exceed its reported debt obligations on a net basis, a development that strengthens its financial flexibility as it pursues further expansion.

The results also point to accelerating financial performance during the third quarter of 2026. Revenue increased from $13.91 billion at the end of June to $22.48 billion by September, implying third-quarter revenue of approximately $8.57 billion.

Similarly, EBITDA rose from $2.60 billion in the first half of the year to $5.52 billion at the end of September, indicating that the refinery generated approximately $2.92 billion in EBITDA during the third quarter alone. Net profit also increased from $1.82 billion at the half-year mark to $4.73 billion by September, representing an additional $2.90 billion in the three months to September. These figures underscore the pace at which the refinery’s commercial operations have expanded following its commissioning and initial production ramp-up.

Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals, David Bird, attributed the strong results to higher throughput, greater operational stability and improved refining margins.

“Our third-quarter performance demonstrates the successful transition from commissioning and ramp-up activities to sustainable commercial operations,” Bird said. “Revenue increased to $22.5 billion from $9.2 billion in the corresponding period of 2025, while EBITDA rose to US$5.5 billion from $627.6 million, reflecting higher throughput, improved operational reliability and stronger gross refining margins.”

Bird said the results validated the strength of the refinery’s integrated business model and provided a solid foundation for the company’s next phase of growth.

“These results reflect the strength of our integrated business model and provide a solid foundation as we progress through our IPO and execute our Vision 2030 growth strategy,” he stated. “With our expansion programme already underway, we remain focused on increasing refining capacity and broadening our product portfolio. We will continue to strengthen our distribution network across Africa and support energy security across the continent, while creating long-term value for stakeholders,” he said.

The financial performance comes at a defining moment for Dangote Petroleum Refinery, whose IPO is seeking to bring a broader cross-section of Africans into the ownership of one of the continent’s most significant industrial investments. The company recently secured approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission to extend the closing date of the offer from October 13 to October 27, 2026, to accommodate growing investor interest across Africa and facilitate wider cross-border participation. The IPO comprises 4.1 billion ordinary shares at ₦525 per share, representing an offering valued at approximately ₦2.15 trillion.

The President/Chief Executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote, had disclosed that subscriptions to the offer had already exceeded the company’s original fundraising target, stressing that the overriding objective was to enable more Africans to participate in the refinery’s ownership rather than merely raise additional capital. The latest financial results provide an important perspective on that proposition, demonstrating the earnings capacity, cash generation and financial strength of the enterprise as it seeks to attract a wider shareholder base. Beyond the immediate IPO, the results also have implications for the Group’s Vision 2030 industrial expansion programme, which includes increasing refining capacity, expanding petrochemical production and strengthening distribution networks across African markets.

Located in the Lekki Free Zone, Lagos, Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals operates an integrated refining and petrochemical complex with a crude distillation capacity of 700,000 barrels per day. The facility, built to international environmental, safety and product quality standards, is among the world’s most modern large-scale refining complexes and represents a major investment in Africa’s energy and industrial infrastructure.

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